ICE Arabica Coffee September 2026 (KCU26) trades above 300 US cents per pound on July 31, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. July 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
KCU26 closed at 330.55 US cents/lb on July 9, 2026, and dropped −3.92% to ~317 cents on July 10 (Barchart/Yahoo Finance). The existing Cassandra prediction for July 18 sets the threshold at 305 cents. Track record: the 325-cent forecast for July 12 was a miss. For July 31, a level above 300 cents is still plausible: Brazil's frost-risk season (July/August) and Vietnamese Robusta supply deficits structurally support Arabica prices. A further ~−6% decline would be needed for a miss. Implied probability: 65%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Barchart: KCU26 Schluss 9. Juli 2026 bei 330,55 US-Cent/lb
- Yahoo Finance: KCU26 Tagesrückgang 10. Juli 2026: −3,92 % auf ca. 317 US-Cent/lb
- Cassandra.news Trefferhistorie: 325-Cent-Prognose für 12. Juli → Miss (Schluss ~317 Cent)
- TradingEconomics: Arabicakaffee strukturelle Stützfaktoren Brasilien/Vietnam (Juli 2026)
Verdict: Hit
KCU26 (ICE Arabica Coffee September 2026) schloss am 31. Juli 2026 bei 332,10 US-Cent/lb – deutlich über der Schwelle von 300 Cent. Der Kontrakt gewann an diesem Tag rund 2,8 % (ca. +905 Punkte). Als stützende Faktoren werden in der Quelle enge ICE-Lagerbestände sowie ein verzögerter brasilianischer Erntefortschritt genannt. Quelle: Cocoa Intel, 'Arabica Coffee Rebounds as ICE Stocks Tighten', 31. Juli 2026 (https://www.cocoaintel.com/arabica-coffee-rebounds-sharply-as-tight-stocks-and-delayed-brazilian-harvest-support-prices-31-july-2026/)
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