Saturday, 11. July 2026 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
🍾 Beverages · Next Week

ICE Arabica Coffee September 2026 (KCU26) still above 305 USc/lb on July 18, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
77%

Five trading days after the breakout: does the coffee rally hold? 305 USc would represent a ~10% pullback from July 9 levels — signaling complete capitulation. Structural fundamentals remain intact: El Niño flowering risk Sept/Oct, Brazil harvest lag, ICE inventory near multi-year low. Main risk: rapid harvest progress in Brazil and technical long-squeezing. The week timeframe allows higher failure probability than the tomorrow prediction; lower threshold compensates.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Barchart.com: KCU26 ~341 USc/lb (Stand 09.07.2026)
  • Global Coffee Report: Arabica surges to 5-month high (Juli 2026)
  • ICE/Yahoo Finance: Inventar ~373.000 Säcke, 2,25-Jahrestief
  • Yahoo Finance: Brazil harvest 52% vs. 5Y-avg 60% (01.07.2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
Related Predictions
🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Oatly (NASDAQ: OTLY) closes above USD 9.00 on July 18, 2026

Oatly closed at USD 9.85 on July 10, 2026 (market cap USD 296M). The 52-week low is USD 8.01. Dropping below USD 9.00 would require a weekly decline exceeding 8.6%, unusual absent negative news. Q2 results are due July 22, 2026 (after the prediction date); analyst consensus: Buy, avg. target USD 15.33. Q1 2026 showed revenue of USD 228.3M (+16% YoY) and an improved net loss of USD 12.0M. No prediction market found.

72%
Next Week · Predicted for 18. Jul 2026
🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Nichols plc (AIM: NICL) closes above 940 pence on July 18, 2026

Nichols (Vimto brand owner, AIM-listed) traded at 958–972 pence in early July 2026. The 940p threshold is approximately 1.9–3.3% below the current price. H1 2026 results are due July 29, 2026 (after the prediction date); the positive H1 2025 track record (revenue +1.8% to £85.5M, Vimto RSV at record £129.1M) suggests no significant downward pressure. The 52-week low is 829p; the stock is illiquid and no major catalyst is known for the prediction week. No prediction market found.

68%
Next Week · Predicted for 18. Jul 2026
🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Treasury Wine Estates (ASX: TWE) closes above AUD 4.40 on July 18, 2026

TWE traded at AUD 4.49–4.57 between July 4–8, 2026, after confirming its FY2026 underlying EBIT guidance of AUD 480–490M. Falling below AUD 4.40 would require a weekly decline of around 2–3%. Analysts (consensus: Buy, avg. target AUD 5.43, +12% upside) view positive depletions trends as a stabilization signal. Full FY2026 results (fiscal year ending June 30, 2026) will be published August 13, 2026. No prediction market found.

73%
Next Week · Predicted for 18. Jul 2026