ICE Arabica Coffee December 2026 (KCZ26) closes above USD 3.05 per pound on October 31, 2026 (confirmed by ICE closing price or Bloomberg by November 1, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. September 2026
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Predicted for 31. October 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
ICE arabica stocks have fallen to a 27-year low while Colombian export disruptions persist. The KCZ26 contract trades at ~2.805 USD/lb on Sep 26 (+2.6% on the day) – after a -28.2% collapse over the prior 30 days (from ~3.77 to 2.71 USD on Sep 23). The 52-week range spans 2.44 to 4.23 USD. No Polymarket/Kalshi market available. Reaching 3.05 USD requires a further +8.9% gain by end of October – fundamentally grounded given tight supply and an emerging 2026/27 crop deficit, though not certain.
Data basis for this prediction
- ICE Arabica Coffee C Spot: ~2,805 USD/lb (+2,6% am 26.09.2026, TradingEconomics/Investing.com)
- ICE-Arabica-Bestände: 27-Jahres-Tief, kolumb. Exportstörungen (TradingView/Reuters, 26.09.2026)
- 30-Tages-Rückgang KCZ26: -28,2% (Barchart, Stand 23.09.2026)
- 52-Wochen-Spanne KCZ26: 2,44–4,23 USD je Pfund (Barchart, Stand 26.09.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Munich's Oktoberfest 2026 (September 19 – October 4, 16 days at the Theresienwiese) is in its second half — weekends from September 26 are typically the busiest visitor days. Post-COVID record: 2022 5.7 million, 2023 7.2 million (record year), 2024 6.7 million. The 6.5 million threshold was exceeded in 2 of the last 3 full festival years. Current weather (sunshine in late September) favors high open-tent occupancy. Separate beer consumption prediction (>6.5 million liters) is already on the platform; visitor count is an independent, separately published metric.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
France's Agriculture Ministry estimates the 2026 wine harvest at 33.9 million hectoliters (hl) – 6% below 2025, 17% below the 5-year average, and per the IWO the lowest since 1957. Causes: record-hot summer, late-March frost (-40% bud loss in Champagne), and severe water deficits in Bordeaux, Languedoc, and Rhône. Champagne alone loses 49% to 1.34M hl. The Drinks Business and Bloomberg independently report estimates around 34M hl. FranceAgriMer's autumn final estimate may deviate slightly but is very likely to remain below 34.5M hl. No prediction market available; calibration based on convergence of multiple independent agency estimates.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Oktoberfest 2026 runs from approx. 19 September to 4 October (16 days). Historical beer volumes in normal operating years: 2023 ~7.2 million litres, 2024 ~6.7 million litres, 2019 ~7.3 million litres. The 6.5-million-litre threshold has not been missed in any normal year since 2011. Given the co-pending Cassandra visitor forecast of >6.5 million and a historical ratio of ~1 litre per visitor-day, the picture is consistent. No direct prediction market found; calibrated solely from City of Munich statistics.