Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD) beats Q2-FY2026 earnings (approx. 19 August 2026, before market open) on adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approximately $4.80 per share (confirmed by Home Depot press release)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. July 2026
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Predicted for 19. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Home Depot is expected to report Q2 FY2026 (quarter ending late July 2026) around August 19 before market open. The company has beaten EPS consensus in approximately 87% of recent reporting quarters. The estimated consensus is approximately $4.80 (Q2 FY2025 was $4.67; ~3% YoY growth based on stable renovation spending despite elevated interest rates). No active Polymarket market for this event. Cassandra.news estimates a 65% probability based on historical beat rate and robust US home improvement demand.
Data basis for this prediction
- Home Depot Q2 FY2025 Non-GAAP EPS: 4,67 USD (August 2025, Basis für Konsensschätzung)
- Home Depot historische EPS-Trefferquote: ca. 87 % in letzten 8 Quartalen (FactSet-Analyse)
- Yahoo Finance Earnings Calendar: HD Q2 FY2026 erwartet ca. 19. August 2026 vor Börseneröffnung
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Home Depot meldete die Q2-FY2026-Ergebnisse am 18. August 2026 (einen Tag früher als die prognostizierten 19. August). Der bereinigte Non-GAAP-EPS lag bei 4,92 USD und übertraf damit sowohl den tatsächlichen Konsensschätzung von ca. 4,73 USD als auch den in der Vorhersage angenommenen Konsens von ~4,80 USD deutlich. Auch der Umsatz von 47,86 Mrd. USD (+5,7 % YoY) übertraf die Erwartungen. Die Vorhersage ist klar eingetreten. Quellen: CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/18/home-depot-hd-q2-2026-earnings.html), StockTitan (https://www.stocktitan.net/news/HD/the-home-depot-announces-second-quarter-fiscal-2026-results-w7n9jy4uowii.html), Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-home-depot-beats-q2-2026-estimates-shares-rise-93CH-4865627)
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Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
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✦ AI
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