Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD) beats Q2-FY2026 earnings (approx. 19 August 2026, before market open) on adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approximately $4.80 per share (confirmed by Home Depot press release)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 25. July 2026
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Predicted for 19. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Home Depot is expected to report Q2 FY2026 (quarter ending late July 2026) around August 19 before market open. The company has beaten EPS consensus in approximately 87% of recent reporting quarters. The estimated consensus is approximately $4.80 (Q2 FY2025 was $4.67; ~3% YoY growth based on stable renovation spending despite elevated interest rates). No active Polymarket market for this event. Cassandra.news estimates a 65% probability based on historical beat rate and robust US home improvement demand.
Data basis for this prediction
- Home Depot Q2 FY2025 Non-GAAP EPS: 4,67 USD (August 2025, Basis für Konsensschätzung)
- Home Depot historische EPS-Trefferquote: ca. 87 % in letzten 8 Quartalen (FactSet-Analyse)
- Yahoo Finance Earnings Calendar: HD Q2 FY2026 erwartet ca. 19. August 2026 vor Börseneröffnung
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Home Depot meldete die Q2-FY2026-Ergebnisse am 18. August 2026 (einen Tag früher als die prognostizierten 19. August). Der bereinigte Non-GAAP-EPS lag bei 4,92 USD und übertraf damit sowohl den tatsächlichen Konsensschätzung von ca. 4,73 USD als auch den in der Vorhersage angenommenen Konsens von ~4,80 USD deutlich. Auch der Umsatz von 47,86 Mrd. USD (+5,7 % YoY) übertraf die Erwartungen. Die Vorhersage ist klar eingetreten. Quellen: CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/18/home-depot-hd-q2-2026-earnings.html), StockTitan (https://www.stocktitan.net/news/HD/the-home-depot-announces-second-quarter-fiscal-2026-results-w7n9jy4uowii.html), Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-home-depot-beats-q2-2026-estimates-shares-rise-93CH-4865627)
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.