⚽ Sports · Next Month

Holger Rune (DEN, Seed No. 6) reaches the quarterfinals of the 2026 US Open Men's Singles (approx. September 8–9, 2026, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, confirmed by USTA or ATP)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 29. August 2026 · Predicted for 9. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

38%

Jannik Sinner (ITA, nominal No. 1) has withdrawn from the 2026 US Open due to a right knee injury (Tennis365, Aug 2026), leaving the top of the draw open. Holger Rune (Seed No. 6) is a strong hard-court player who has reached multiple Grand Slam QFs recently. Sinner's absence structurally eases the path for players in that half of the draw. Existing open forecasts cover Zverev (final), Alcaraz (title), Djokovic, Fritz, FAA, and Medvedev — Rune is the most prominent uncovered player. No Polymarket market found; seeding stats for No. 6 seeds at Slams imply ~38% QF rate.

Data basis for this prediction

Tennis365: Sinner zieht sich wegen Knieverletzung von US Open 2026 zurück (tennis365.com, Aug 2026)
ATP Tour US Open 2026 Draw: Rune als Setzliste Nr. 6 gelistet (atptour.com, Aug 2026)
Grand-Slam QF-Rate für Setzlinge Nr. 5–8 auf Hartplatz: historisch ca. 35–42 % (ATP Stats)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Holger Rune schied in der 2. Runde gegen Jan-Lennard Struff (7-6, 2-6, 6-3, 4-6, 7-5) aus. Viertelfinale nicht erreicht. Bestätigt durch Flashscore.

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