Henry Hub Natural Gas (NYMEX NG front month) closes above USD 3.10/MMBtu on October 31, 2026
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 28. September 2026
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Predicted for 31. October 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Henry Hub spot gas stood at approx. USD 2.87/MMBtu in early September 2026, with the October contract at ~USD 2.96/MMBtu. The EIA forecasts (as of September 2026) an October 2026 average of USD 3.249/MMBtu (range: 2.983–3.585) and a November 2026 average of USD 3.364/MMBtu (range: 3.231–3.582). A close above USD 3.10 on October 31 falls within the lower range of the EIA October forecast. Seasonal winter heating demand, robust LNG feedgas requirements, and the EIA outlook support the upward drift. The downside scenario below USD 3.10 is bounded by the EIA floor of 2.983 but carries ~35% probability.
Data basis for this prediction
- EIA / Inspenet: Henry Hub Oktober 2026 Ø 3,249 USD/MMBtu, Spanne 2,983–3,585 USD (September 2026)
- EIA / Inspenet: Henry Hub November 2026 Ø 3,364 USD/MMBtu, Spanne 3,231–3,582 USD (September 2026)
- Global LNG Hub: Henry Hub Kassa ~2,87 USD/MMBtu (09.09.2026); Okt-Kontrakt 2,96 USD/MMBtu (24.09.2026)
- American Gas Association Market Indicators: LNG feedgas demand robust (September 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Der NYMEX Natural Gas Frontmonat (Dezember 2026, nach Ablauf des November-Kontrakts am 28. Oktober) schloss am letzten Handelstag vor dem 31. Oktober 2026 (Samstag, kein Handel) — also am Freitag, 30. Oktober 2026 — bei 2,90 USD/MMBtu (Quelle: commoditypriceapi.com, 'Latest settlement 2.90 USD per MMBtu · 30 Oct 2026'). Das ist deutlich unter der Schwelle von 3,10 USD. Der November-Kontrakt hatte am 13. Oktober noch bei 3,28 USD ein Hoch markiert, verlor dann aber massiv: Am 26. Oktober fiel er auf 2,60 USD, am 28. Oktober lief er bei 2,82 USD aus (Quelle: AGA Natural Gas Market Indicators). Der Dezember-Kontrakt, der danach den Frontmonat übernahm, stand am 28. Oktober bei 3,022 USD, sank intraday am 29. Oktober auf 2,90–3,07 USD und schloss am 30. Oktober bei 2,90 USD. Hauptgründe für das Verfehlen: außergewöhnlich starke Inlandsproduktion, milderes Wetter als saisonal üblich und gut gefüllte Gasspeicher — entgegen der EIA-Prognose, die den Oktober-Durchschnitt bei 3,249 USD gesehen hatte.
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