Google officially announces the Pixel 11 smartphone series at the 'Made by Google' event in October 2026
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. September 2026
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Predicted for 31. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Google has held an October 'Made by Google' hardware event every year since the first Pixel launch in October 2016, unveiling the new Pixel flagship generation (Pixel 1–10 across ten consecutive Octobers without exception). Insider reports from August/September 2026 (Android Authority, 9to5Google) point to the Pixel 11 and Pixel 11 Pro with a new Tensor G5 Pro chip (Samsung 3nm) and revised AI camera software. The consistent annual pattern makes this one of the strongest cyclical predictions. No prediction market found; calibrated on ten consecutive October events (zero exceptions in 10 years).
Data basis for this prediction
- Made by Google: Oktober 2022 (Pixel 7), 2023 (Pixel 8), 2024 (Pixel 9), 2025 (Pixel 10) – 10 Jahre Konstanz (The Verge)
- Pixel 11 Leaks: Tensor G5 Pro, Samsung 3nm, KI-Kamera-Upgrade (Android Authority, September 2026)
- Google I/O 2026: Ankündigung neuer Pixel-Modelle für H2 2026 (9to5Google, Mai 2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
SOL is trading at $116.54 on September 22, 2026 (daily range: $112.08–$119.90). The $155 threshold requires a +33% price appreciation by year-end. As a high-beta asset, SOL correlates strongly with BTC: a BTC recovery from ~$87,000 to >$100,000 (open prediction at ~62% probability) implies 2–3x SOL beta movement to an expected range of $140–$175. Polymarket tracks a 'Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026' market with significant volume ($1.7M); no direct Polymarket market for SOL >$155 available. Estimated probability: ~47% based on BTC correlation and beta calibration. SOL sits 61% below its all-time high (~$293, January 2025), signaling structural catch-up potential.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple Q4 FY2026 covers July–September 2026 and likely includes the first weeks of iPhone 18 sales (typical September launch). From the Q3 report (July 30, 2026 — Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO): revenue beat vs. estimates, but weak guidance for Q4 (CNBC). The $98B threshold represents modest growth of ~3–4% vs. Q4 FY2025 (~$94.9B). Historically Apple grows Q4 (Jul-Sep) by 5–8% YoY, supported by iPhone supercycle. Countervailing factors: supply constraints (mentioned in Q3 report), CEO change after Cook's departure, and weak consumer guidance for fall. No specific Polymarket or Kalshi Apple Q4 revenue market found; based on Apple growth history and analyst consensus ~$98–102B range → probability ~61%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Wall Street consensus for Microsoft Q1 FY2027 (July–September 2026) stands at USD 90.59 billion in revenue. Microsoft has beaten consensus estimates in six consecutive quarters by an average of 5–6% (most recently Q4 FY2026: EPS USD 4.74 vs USD 4.47 consensus, +6.1%). At a similar beat rate, the implied actual revenue is around USD 95 billion. The threshold of USD 93.0 billion is 2.6% above consensus and well below a typical beat — leaving substantial margin of safety. Azure growth (+32–35% YoY per analyst models) and Copilot subscription expansion are the key drivers. No Polymarket contract found.