Google officially announces the Pixel 11 smartphone series at the 'Made by Google' event in October 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. September 2026
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Predicted for 31. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Google has held an October 'Made by Google' hardware event every year since the first Pixel launch in October 2016, unveiling the new Pixel flagship generation (Pixel 1–10 across ten consecutive Octobers without exception). Insider reports from August/September 2026 (Android Authority, 9to5Google) point to the Pixel 11 and Pixel 11 Pro with a new Tensor G5 Pro chip (Samsung 3nm) and revised AI camera software. The consistent annual pattern makes this one of the strongest cyclical predictions. No prediction market found; calibrated on ten consecutive October events (zero exceptions in 10 years).
Data basis for this prediction
- Made by Google: Oktober 2022 (Pixel 7), 2023 (Pixel 8), 2024 (Pixel 9), 2025 (Pixel 10) – 10 Jahre Konstanz (The Verge)
- Pixel 11 Leaks: Tensor G5 Pro, Samsung 3nm, KI-Kamera-Upgrade (Android Authority, September 2026)
- Google I/O 2026: Ankündigung neuer Pixel-Modelle für H2 2026 (9to5Google, Mai 2026)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Google präsentierte die Pixel 11-Serie (Pixel 11, Pixel 11 Pro, Pixel 11 Pro XL, Pixel 11 Pro Fold, Tensor G6) auf dem 'Made by Google 2026'-Event offiziell. Quellen: PhoneArena, Tom's Guide.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.