GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 1.65 per share (July 22, 2026, pre-market)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 21. July 2026
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Predicted for 22. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
GE Aerospace reports Q2 2026 on July 22, 2026, pre-market. The company benefits from booming aviation demand (LEAP engines, RPK +8% YoY Q1 2026) and elevated defence spending (F110/F404). Q1 2026 beat adj. EPS of $1.49 vs. consensus $1.31; order backlog exceeds $150B. Analyst expectations for Q2 are approx. $1.65 per share (Non-GAAP). No Polymarket quote available; historical beat rate ~80% over 8 quarters.
Data basis for this prediction
- GE Aerospace Q1 2026 Pressemitteilung: adj. EPS 1,49 USD vs. Konsens 1,31 USD (GE IR, Apr. 2026)
- GE Aerospace Q2-Meldetermin: 22. Juli 2026 vor Börseneröffnung (GE Investor Relations)
- IATA: Passagier-RPK +8 % YoY Q1 2026 (IATA, April 2026)
- Brent-Öl 91,10 USD/Bbl (+2,11 %) am 21. Juli 2026 (Forbes Advisor)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] GE Aerospace meldete Q2-2026-EPS (bereinigt) von 2,02 USD – weit über dem Konsens von ca. 1,65 USD. Mehrere Quellen bestätigen: 'GE Aerospace beats Q2 estimates and raises profit outlook' (mlq.ai, qz.com, investing.com).
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Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
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Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.