📈 Economy · Next Week

FTSE 100 (UKX) closes above 10,400 points on July 28, 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

41%

The existing platform prediction has FTSE 100 above 10,300 on July 25, implying current index at ~10,250–10,350. Reaching 10,400 by July 28 requires ~+1.0% over three additional trading days. Positive drivers: BoE holds Bank Rate at 3.75% on July 30 (existing platform forecast), strong UK corporate earnings (Unilever, AstraZeneca). GBP/USD fell to 1.338 on July 21 (–0.38%), boosting export-heavy FTSE constituents. Headwinds: weaker UK consumer confidence.

Data basis for this prediction

FTSE 100 Schluss ca. 10.300 (impliziert durch offene Plattform-Prognose >10.300 am 25. Juli)
GBP/USD: 1.338 am 21. Juli 2026; Wochenhoch 1.355 am 15. Juli (MTFX Historical Data)
Bank of England: Bank Rate 3,75 % – Halten erwartet am 30. Juli 2026 (Reuters, 22. Juli 2026)
FTSE 100 Jahresend-Ziel >11.000 (bestehende Plattform-Prognose 31. Dezember 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Der FTSE 100 schloss am 28. Juli 2026 deutlich über 10.400 Punkten – laut sundayguardianlive.com lag der Index im Tagesverlauf bei ca. 10.800–10.822 Punkten (Vortagesschluss: 10.781,75). Die Vorhersage von >10.400 wurde damit um rund 400 Punkte übertroffen. Treiber waren sinkende Ölpreise, solide Unternehmensgewinne und eine verbesserte globale Marktstimmung.

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,450 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.

73%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Federal Reserve raises the Federal Funds target range by 25 basis points on 16 September 2026 (FOMC decision)

Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.

53%

Next Week · Predicted for 16. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.

48%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026