⚽ Sports · Next Week

France defeats Spain in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal on July 14, 2026 (AT&T Stadium, Dallas)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 14. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

61%

France faces Spain at 3 PM ET on July 14 at AT&T Stadium, Dallas. Kalshi prices France at 61 cents (−156 implied odds), Spain at 40 cents. Opta/Polymarket consensus: 54.7% for France. France has scored 16–2 in the tournament, Spain 11–1. Polymarket sees ~61% for France. Note: this prediction diverges from the existing Cassandra scenario (Spain in the final) and reflects current market consensus.

Data basis for this prediction

Kalshi: Frankreich 61% Favorit vs. Spanien 40% für WM-Halbfinale (kalshi.com, Stand 11. Juli 2026)
SI.com: 'France vs. Spain Opening Odds for World Cup Semifinals' (si.com/betting, Juli 2026)
ESPN: France outscoring 16-2; Spain 11-1 im WM-Turnier (espn.com, Juli 2026)
Polymarket: polymarket.com/sports/world-cup/fifwc-fra-esp-2026-07-14 (Stand 11. Juli 2026)

Verdict: Miss

Spanien besiegte Frankreich im WM-2026-Halbfinale am 14. Juli 2026 mit 2:0 (AT&T Stadium, Dallas). Trotz Frankreichs Favoritenstatus (61% Marktwahrscheinlichkeit) erzielte Spanien Tore durch Mikel Oyarzabal (Elfmeter, 1. Halbzeit) und Pedro Porro (58. Min.) und zog ins Finale ein. Die Vorhersage lag falsch, weil Spanien entgegen den Marktprognosen klar dominierte. Quelle: ESPN (https://www.espn.com/soccer/match/_/gameId/760514/spain-france), FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/en/match-centre/match/17/285023/289290/400021541), NPR (https://www.npr.org/2026/07/14/nx-s1-5893692/2026-world-cup-fifa-spain-france-semifinal)

Related Predictions

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

New York Giants defeat Washington Commanders — NFL Regular Season 2026/27 Week 10 Thursday Night Football (MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ, 12 November 2026, confirmed by NFL.com or AP by 13 November 2026)

The Giants host the Washington Commanders on 12 November 2026 (8:15 PM ET, MetLife Stadium) in Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime Video. Bookmaker lines make New York a slight home favourite at −1.5, O/U 47.5 (Covers.com, as of Nov 2026). Implied win probability is ~54%. No dedicated Polymarket market found; calibration is anchored solely on bookmaker lines.

54%

Next Week · Predicted for 12. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Marc Márquez (Ducati Lenovo) wins the 2026 MotoGP Qatar Grand Prix — Losail International Circuit, 8 November 2026 (confirmed by MotoGP.com or FIM by 9 November 2026)

Márquez leads the 2026 championship after 19 of 22 rounds with 399 points, 44 clear of Jorge Martín (355). Martín suffered a wrist injury in Malaysia and is doubtful for Qatar (MotoGPNews, 4 Nov 2026). MotoGPNews experts nonetheless lean toward Marco Bezzecchi for Sunday's main race; Márquez himself admits he 'often struggled at Lusail'. Without a dedicated race-winner market, probability is derived from championship futures (Márquez 2/5, Bezzecchi 7/1 at bet365), implying a ~30–35% single-race win probability for Márquez. A Martín DNS would further reduce competition.

33%

Next Week · Predicted for 8. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins at 1. FC Köln — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (8 November 2026, 15:30 CET, confirmed by bundesliga.com or DFL by 8 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

Leverkusen are clear away favourites at table-13th Köln (9 pts); Leverkusen themselves sit 6th with 13 pts. Bookmaker odds imply a ~55% win probability for Leverkusen (4/5 / -126 to -140 US): Köln 10/3 (23%), draw 10/3 (23%), Leverkusen 4/5 (55%). Statistical models (OddsPedia/RotoWire) give Leverkusen ~40%, while the bookmaker market anchors at ~55%.

55%

Next Week · Predicted for 8. Nov 2026