⚽ Sports · Next Month

Formula 1 – Italian Grand Prix 2026 (Autodromo Nazionale Monza, Qualifying, September 5, 2026): Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari, MON) takes pole position (confirmed by FIA Race Control)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. August 2026 · Predicted for 5. September 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

32%

WM leader Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) deliberately accepts an engine penalty at Monza (Toto Wolff confirmed) and starts from the back — no strategic incentive for a qualifying push. Ferrari traditionally excels on Monza's high-speed layout; Leclerc has taken pole there multiple times. With Antonelli effectively out of contention for pole, Leclerc, Hamilton (Ferrari) and Norris (McLaren) are the likely aspirants. Polymarket: Antonelli WM favourite at 75%, but for this specific Monza qualifying without Antonelli competition, Leclerc is the most plausible candidate. Estimated probability: ~32%.

Data basis for this prediction

Sky Sports F1: Antonelli Motorenstrafe Monza bestätigt – Toto Wolff (Aug 2026)
Crash.net: Antonelli grid penalty Italian GP confirmed (Aug 2026)
RacingNews365: F1 Driver Standings 2026 – Leclerc 155 Pts, 5. Platz (24. Aug 2026)
Polymarket: 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion – Antonelli 75 % (24. Aug 2026)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Max Verstappen erzielte die Pole Position beim F1-Qualifying Monza (5.9.2026, Zeitrekord 1:18.792) – nicht Charles Leclerc. Quelle: f1dailybrief.com, SI.com.

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