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⚽ Sports · Next Week

Formula 1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026: Kimi Antonelli (ITA, Mercedes-AMG F1) wins the race at Baku City Circuit (September 26, 2026, confirmed by FIA or Motorsport.com by September 27, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 13. September 2026 · Predicted for 26. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
40%

Antonelli leads the 2026 drivers' championship with 267 points and a 66-point gap over teammate George Russell (RacingNews365, as of September 12, 2026). He has won 7 of ~15 rounds this season – a ~47% win rate. Mercedes leads the constructors' standings by 122 points over Ferrari. Baku City Circuit favors drivers with strong quali pace on the main straight but is historically volatile (safety cars, crashes). Bookmaker odds imply ~40% for Antonelli in Baku. Rivals: Russell (MER), Norris (MCL), Leclerc (FER).

Data basis for this prediction
  • F1-Fahrerwertung 2026: Antonelli 267 Pkte, Russell 201 Pkte (+66), Mercedes-Konstrukteur +122 ggü. Ferrari (RacingNews365, 12.09.2026)
  • Antonelli-Saisonbilanz 2026: 7 Siege in ~15 Rennen, u.a. Comeback-Sieg aus P19 in Monza (f1-fansite.com)
  • F1-Kalender 2026: Aserbaidschan GP, Baku City Circuit, 24.–26. September 2026 (formula1.com)
  • Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~40 % für Antonelli-Sieg Baku (aggregiert, Stand 13.09.2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Kimi Antonelli gewann das Rennen nicht – Russell siegte, Antonelli wurde Fünfter. Quelle: formula1.com Ergebnis
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