Formula 1 Gran Premio de España 2026 (MADRING, Madrid, September 13, 2026): Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes-AMG F1, ITA) wins the race (confirmed by FIA result or ESPN by September 13, 2026)
Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 World Championship with 267 points — 66 ahead of George Russell (Mercedes, 2nd) — and has won 7 of 13 races (54% win rate, 6 poles, 11 podiums). The open prediction (Norris Top-3 podium in Spain) is compatible: Antonelli can win while Norris takes P2 or P3. Per-race probability for the championship leader: ~35–40%. No explicit market quote available.
- Formula1.com / RacingNews365: Antonelli 267 Pkt., Russell 201 Pkt. (WM-Stand Sep 2026)
- Motorsport.com: Antonelli 7 Siege in 13 Rennen 2026 (Sep 2026)
- F1 Spanien GP 2026: MADRING Madrid (neuer Stadtkurs ab 2026 Saison)