Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) beats Q2-2026 adjusted EPS consensus of ~$0.35 per share (July 28, 2026, after market close)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 19. July 2026
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Predicted for 28. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Ford reports after US market close on July 28, 2026. Consensus EPS ~$0.35. Ford massively beat Q1 2026 ($0.66 vs. $0.20 expected) via a $1.3B tariff refund and raised full-year guidance (EBIT $8.5–10.5B). Continued F-150 and Maverick demand and a historically low consensus raise the probability of a beat. No Polymarket odds available.
Data basis for this prediction
- Ford Q2 2026 Earnings Date: 28. Juli 2026, nach Börsenschluss (StockTitan)
- Ford Q1 2026: EPS 0,66 USD vs. 0,20 USD Konsens (CNBC, 29.04.2026)
- Ford Jahresprognose angehoben: EBIT 8,5–10,5 Mrd. USD (Ford IR, April 2026)
- Ford Q2 EPS-Konsens ca. 0,35 USD (Analyst-Aggregat, Stand 19.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Ford berichtete am 28. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss ein bereinigtes EPS von 0,42 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 0,35 USD (+21 %). Der Kurs stieg daraufhin rund 6,6 %. Ford hob zudem die Jahresprognose (EBIT) erneut an. Umsatz verfehlte zwar die Schätzungen leicht, aber das EPS-Kriterium der Vorhersage wurde klar erfüllt. Quellen: CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/28/ford-motor-f-earnings-q2-2026.html), StockStory/Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/ford-nyse-f-misses-q2-212537378.html), 24/7 Wall St. (https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/07/29/ford-jumps-6-outstrips-gm-and-tesla-on-q2-earnings-beat-raised-2026-guidance-citi-upgrade/).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.