📈 Economy · Next Month

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) beats Q2-2026 adjusted EPS consensus of ~$0.35 per share (July 28, 2026, after market close)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

62%

Ford reports after US market close on July 28, 2026. Consensus EPS ~$0.35. Ford massively beat Q1 2026 ($0.66 vs. $0.20 expected) via a $1.3B tariff refund and raised full-year guidance (EBIT $8.5–10.5B). Continued F-150 and Maverick demand and a historically low consensus raise the probability of a beat. No Polymarket odds available.

Data basis for this prediction

Ford Q2 2026 Earnings Date: 28. Juli 2026, nach Börsenschluss (StockTitan)
Ford Q1 2026: EPS 0,66 USD vs. 0,20 USD Konsens (CNBC, 29.04.2026)
Ford Jahresprognose angehoben: EBIT 8,5–10,5 Mrd. USD (Ford IR, April 2026)
Ford Q2 EPS-Konsens ca. 0,35 USD (Analyst-Aggregat, Stand 19.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Ford berichtete am 28. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss ein bereinigtes EPS von 0,42 USD – deutlich über dem Konsens von ca. 0,35 USD (+21 %). Der Kurs stieg daraufhin rund 6,6 %. Ford hob zudem die Jahresprognose (EBIT) erneut an. Umsatz verfehlte zwar die Schätzungen leicht, aber das EPS-Kriterium der Vorhersage wurde klar erfüllt. Quellen: CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/28/ford-motor-f-earnings-q2-2026.html), StockStory/Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/ford-nyse-f-misses-q2-212537378.html), 24/7 Wall St. (https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/07/29/ford-jumps-6-outstrips-gm-and-tesla-on-q2-earnings-beat-raised-2026-guidance-citi-upgrade/).

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (SPX) closes above 7,500 on Friday, 13 November 2026 (confirmed via NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 14 November 2026, 10:00 ET)

The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.

62%

Next Week · Predicted for 13. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Consumer Price Index (headline CPI) for October 2026 exceeds 3.7 percent year-on-year — BLS release November 10, 2026, 8:30 AM ET (confirmed by BLS or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.

65%

Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Gold (XAU/USD Spot) closes above $4,400 per ounce on 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or Kitco by 1 January 2027)

Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.

32%

Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026