Thursday, 10. September 2026 · Next update: 20:00 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
📈 Economy · Next Month

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$0.35 per share (July 28, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
62%

Ford reports Q2 2026 after market close on July 28. Consensus EPS is $0.35, representing ~-5.4% YoY decline (Q2 2025: ~$0.37). Analysts have already lowered estimates due to EV losses (Model e) and tariff impacts, reducing the bar for a beat. Ford Pro (commercial, profitable) and Blue (ICE) segments remain stable. F-Series price increases have partially offset tariff effects. Historical EPS beat rate for Ford: ~60-65%.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Yahoo Finance: Ford Motor Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 0,35 USD, Berichtsdatum 28. Juli 2026 (nach Börsenschluss)
  • MarketBeat: Ford Motor Q2 2026 earnings report – YoY-Rückgang -5,4% erwartet (18. Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Ford berichtete am 28. Juli 2026 nach Marktschluss ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 0,42 USD – ein deutlicher Beat gegenüber dem Konsens von 0,35 USD (+0,07 USD bzw. +20 %). Treiber waren operative Effizienzgewinne, stabile Fahrzeugpreise und ein günstiger Modell-Mix (v. a. F-Series). Ford Pro erzielte 1,7 Mrd. USD EBIT bei 9,7 % Marge, Ford Blue 1,1 Mrd. USD EBIT. Ford hob daraufhin den Jahres-EBIT-Ausblick auf 10–11 Mrd. USD an; die Aktie stieg nachbörslich rund 6–7 %. Quellen: CNBC (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/28/ford-motor-f-earnings-q2-2026.html), Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/ford-motor-company-f-beats-212004009.html), MarketBeat (https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2026-7-28-ford-motor-stock/).
Related Predictions
📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,450 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.

73%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026
📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Federal Reserve raises the Federal Funds target range by 25 basis points on 16 September 2026 (FOMC decision)

Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.

53%
Next Week · Predicted for 16. Sep 2026
📈 Economy ✦ AI

DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.

48%
Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026