Floyd Mayweather Jr. (USA) defeats Manny Pacquiao (PHL) in the rematch (T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas NV, September 25, 2026, confirmed by WBC/WBA or ESPN by September 26, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 15. September 2026
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Predicted for 25. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Mayweather vs. Pacquiao 2 takes place on September 25, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena (Netflix global broadcast). Kalshi shows 65–66% for Mayweather, DraftKings has him at -205 (67%), BetOnline at -240 (71%). Odds have shifted slightly toward Pacquiao since market opening in May 2026. Both fighters are well past their prime: Mayweather (49) without a serious professional fight in years, Pacquiao (47) returned from retirement in 2021. Despite bilateral ring rust, Mayweather's defensive mastery and counter-punching style remain difficult to overcome – Kalshi shows 65–66% as anchor. The venue change from the Sphere to T-Mobile Arena after financial disputes is a minor negative signal but doesn't fundamentally alter the sporting picture.
Data basis for this prediction
- Kalshi: Mayweather ~65–66%, Pacquiao ~34–35% (Stand: 15.09.2026)
- DraftKings: Mayweather -205 / Pacquiao +160 (Stand: 15.09.2026)
- BetOnline: Mayweather -240 / Pacquiao +181 (Stand: 15.09.2026)
- The Ring Magazine / OddsShark: Rückkampf T-Mobile Arena Las Vegas, 25. September 2026; Netflix-Übertragung bestätigt
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Mayweather vs. Pacquiao Rückkampf wurde am 25. Juni 2026 auf unbestimmte Zeit verschoben – rechtliche Auseinandersetzung um exklusive Promotionsrechte (CSI Sports klagte wegen $4,65 Mio. Vorschuss). Kein Kampf stattgefunden. Frühestmöglicher Neutermin: Anfang 2027. Quelle: Yahoo Sports, Athlon Sports, Wikipedia.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79–80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures — no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.
⚽ Sports
✦ AI
RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) — the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.