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Ferdinand Omanyala (Kenya) wins gold in the men's 100m sprint (athletics) at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (Scotstoun Stadium, Glasgow, ~July 28, 2026)
Probability
48%
Omanyala is the reigning Commonwealth champion in the 100m (gold Birmingham 2022, 9.85s) with a PB of 9.77s. He and Zharnel Hughes (England, 9.83s PB) are the strongest starters. Omanyala has run multiple sub-9.90 times in 2026. As defending champion and currently the fastest man in the Commonwealth field, he is the clear frontrunner. Bookmaker odds imply ~45–52% for Omanyala; no Polymarket market.
Data basis for this prediction
- Birmingham 2022: Ferdinand Omanyala 100m Gold (9,85 s, August 2022 – World Athletics)
- World Athletics: Omanyala PB 9,77 s (2021); Hughes PB 9,83 s (2023)
- Glasgow 2026 Athletics Schedule: 100m-Männer-Finale ca. 28. Juli 2026 Abendprogramm (glasgow2026.com)
Verdict: Miss
Omanyala erreichte das Finale nicht einmal – er schied im Halbfinale aus (6. Platz, 10,19 s), mutmaßlich bedingt durch eine Trainingsverletzung und nasse Bedingungen in Glasgow. Gold gewann Emmanuel Eseme (Kamerun) in 9,83 s (Games-Rekord), Silber ging an Australiens Lachlan Kennedy (9,85 s, Nationalrekord), Bronze an Kaylinsola Ajayi (Nigeria, 9,90 s). Quelle: olympics.com / glasgow2026.com / flashscoreusa.com / citizen.digital