⚽ Sports · Next Week

F1 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España 2026 (Madring, Madrid, 13 September 2026): Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes, ITA) wins the race (confirmed by FIA result or ESPN by 13 September 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 9. September 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

33%

Polymarket shows 33% for Antonelli – clear market favorite. The Italian leads the 2026 championship with 267 points, 66 clear of Russell (7 wins in 13 races, latest a P19 comeback at Monza). An Antonelli win is fully consistent with existing predictions (Russell and Norris each on the podium in P2/P3). Nearest rivals: Russell 15.5%, Norris ~22%, Hamilton 10.5%.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket: Antonelli 33 % F1 Spain GP Siegerquote (Stand September 2026)
Motorsport.com: Antonelli führt 2026-Klassement 267 Pkt., 66 vor Russell (Sep 2026)
Bets.com.au / RG.org: F1 Spain GP 2026 Madring Preview – Antonelli Topfavorit (8. Sep 2026)

Verdict: Hit

Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) gewann das F1 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España 2026 am 13. September 2026 am Madring in Madrid – sein achter Saisonsieg. Er profitierte von einem VSC-Fenster (Stroll-Ausfall), pitte und übernahm die Führung vor Norris. Podium: 1. Antonelli, 2. Verstappen (Red Bull), 3. Norris (McLaren) – Russell war nicht auf dem Podium, was von der Vorhersage leicht abweicht, aber der Kern (Antonelli-Sieg) ist vollständig bestätigt. Quelle: formula1.com Ergebnisseite und NBC News, 13. September 2026.

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