📈 Economy · Next Month

ExxonMobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) beats Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of ~$3.50 per share (report: ~July 31, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

62%

ExxonMobil is expected to report Q2 2026 results around July 30-31, 2026. Analyst consensus: ~$3.50 EPS (range: $3.43-$3.76 depending on source). WTI crude averaged ~$80/bbl in Q2 2026 (today at ~$82.50), supported by US-Iran military escalation and OPEC+ cuts. Exxon's upstream segment directly benefits from higher realization prices; downstream margins remain solid on stable refinery spreads. Exxon has consistently beaten consensus in recent quarters. No Polymarket market found for this event. No investment recommendation.

Data basis for this prediction

hdfcsky.com (17. Juli 2026): WTI bei ~79 USD, intraday 82 USD – US-Iran-Konflikt treibt Ölpreise
Nasdaq.com (Stand Juli 2026): XOM Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens ca. 3,70 USD
Proactive Investors (Juli 2026): Exxon updates Q2 2026 earnings considerations — upstream pressure
marketbeat.com (Stand Juli 2026): XOM earnings date und analyst EPS forecasts 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

ExxonMobil meldete für Q2 2026 einen bereinigten EPS von 3,52 USD – was die im Forecast genannte Benchmark von ~3,50 USD zwar knapp überschreitet, jedoch den tatsächlichen Wall-Street-Konsens von 3,68 USD (Zacks) um 4,3 % verfehlte. Mehrere Quellen bestätigen eine klare EPS-Miss: Yahoo Finance ('XOM Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates'), LevelFields ('Exxon Mobil Falls After Earnings Miss'), TIKR ('ExxonMobil Stock Drops After Q2 Earnings Miss Wall Street Targets'). Die Aktie fiel nach Bekanntgabe. Hauptursachen für das Verfehlen: höhere Kosten durch geplante Raffinerie-Wartungsarbeiten und gestiegene Abschreibungen. Die Vorhersage unterschätzte den echten Konsens ($3,50 statt $3,68), und das Kernszenario – Exxon schlägt die Analysten-Erwartungen – trat nicht ein. Quellen: investor.exxonmobil.com, finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/xom-q2-earnings-miss-estimates, tikr.com/blog/exxonmobil-xom-stock-drops-q2-earnings-miss-2026

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