📈 Economy · Next Week

ExxonMobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $3.71 per share (July 31, 2026, confirmed by ExxonMobil press release)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 25. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

70%

XOM Q2 2026 consensus EPS stands at $3.71, with revenue consensus at ~$99.6bn; some estimates reach $3.88. Elevated Brent prices in Q2 2026 (currently above $95/bbl per open predictions) strongly support upstream margins. ExxonMobil historically beats consensus in ~68% of quarters. Management guidance on progressive cost reduction in the Pioneer integration project should additionally support margins.

Data basis for this prediction

XOM Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens: 3,71–3,88 USD; Umsatzkonsens: ~99,6 Mrd. USD (Yahoo Finance / StocksToTrade, Juli 2026)
ExxonMobil Q2 2026 Ergebnisveröffentlichung: 31. Juli 2026, vor Börseneröffnung (Blockonomi / Yahoo Finance)
XOM Q2 Earnings Preview: starke Upstream-Margen erwartet (Finviz Earnings Preview, Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

ExxonMobil berichtete am 31. Juli 2026 einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 3,52 USD je Aktie – deutlich unter dem prognostizierten Konsens von 3,71 USD (laut Vorhersage) bzw. 3,87 USD (laut StockStory/FinancialContent). Der GAAP-EPS lag bei 3,48 USD und verfehlte den Analystenkonsens um ca. 2,7 %. Die Vorhersage traf für den Berichtstag (31. Juli 2026) und für Upstream-Stärke (Rekordproduktion im Perm, Kosteneinsparungen von 16,3 Mrd. USD kumulativ) zu; dennoch reichte die operative Performance nicht aus, um den EPS-Konsens zu übertreffen. Der Umsatz übertraf hingegen die Erwartungen klar (116 Mrd. USD vs. Konsens 108,6 Mrd. USD). Quellen: investor.exxonmobil.com (Pressemitteilung), stockstory.org, finance.yahoo.com.

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