📈 Economy · Next Week

EUR/USD trades above 1.1550 on July 25, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. July 2026 · Predicted for 25. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

52%

EUR/USD is at 1.1446 on July 18, 2026 — near its year high and in a weekly uptrend (Trading Economics, July 18, 2026). Drivers: US CPI June 2026 (first monthly deflation since 2020), fading Fed rate-hike expectations, institutional USD selling. ECB holds deposit rate at 2.25% on July 23 (per existing market prediction) — structurally neutral. A move to 1.1550 requires +0.9%. No direct Polymarket anchor; CME FX forwards imply mild continued USD weakness. Probability ~52%.

Data basis for this prediction

EUR/USD 1,1446 (Trading Economics, 18.07.2026)
US-CPI Juni 2026: Erste monatl. Deflation seit 2020 (BLS/Trading Economics, Juli 2026)
EZB Einlagensatz 2,25 % (EZB Pressemitteilung ecb.mp260611, 11.06.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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