EUR/USD spot rate closes below 1.1300 on September 22, 2026 (Monday after BOJ decision, confirmed by Bloomberg or Federal Reserve H.10 by September 22, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. September 2026
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Predicted for 22. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
EUR/USD currently stands at 1.1535 (September 12, 2026). The Fed is expected to hike 25 bp to 3.75–4.00% on September 17 (open Cassandra prediction, Polymarket >90%). The Bank of Japan is expected to hike to 1.25% on September 18 (also an open prediction). A synchronised USD-strength signal from the Fed hike, combined with deflationary energy base effects in the eurozone, could push EUR/USD below 1.13 by Monday September 22 — a ~2% decline from current levels, realistic in a high-volatility environment. Existing predictions (EUR/USD >1.15 on Sept 16, >1.14 on Sept 19) are not contradicted since September 22 is a later date. The OIS market currently implies approximately 35% probability of EUR/USD <1.13 by September 22.
Data basis for this prediction
- EUR/USD Kassakurs: 1,1535 am 12. September 2026 (Wise, 19:58 GMT+2)
- Offene Cassandra-Vorhersage: FOMC +25 Bp auf 3,75–4,00 % am 17. September 2026
- OIS-Swaps EUR/USD: ~35 % implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit für <1,1300 bis 22. September (Bloomberg, 13. Sept.)
- Federal Reserve H.10 Statistical Release: tagesaktueller Wechselkurs-Datensatz
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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