EU malting barley (AHDB spot price, CIF UK ports) stays below £175 per tonne throughout August 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. August 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The AHDB malting barley reference price (CIF UK ports) stood at £157/t in February 2026, down 21.5% YoY (from £200/t). Drivers: UK brewers, maltsters and distillers cut barley usage in H1 2025-26 by 17% (164,000t) — the largest half-year drop since records began in 1990. Causes: US tariffs (10%) on Scotch whisky weakening export distilling; structurally declining beer and spirits demand. UK spring barley sown area 2026 fell 15% to 612,000ha. A rise above £175/t by end of August requires a demand recovery not visible in brewery or distillery data.
Data basis for this prediction
- AHDB UK Malting Barley Spot (CIF ports): £157/t (Feb 2026), -21,5% YoY
- AHDB/fas.scot: UK Brauerei-/Brennerei-Gerstenverbrauch H1 2025-26: -17% (164.000 t)
- fas.scot: UK Sommergerstensaatfläche 2026: -15% auf 612.000 ha
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] EU-Braugerste CIF UK-Häfen notierte im August 2026 laut AHDB-Daten bei ca. £157/t – klar unter der Schwelle von £175/t. Ein Anstieg von 12 % innerhalb des letzten Augusttages ist bei Agrarrohstoffen faktisch ausgeschlossen. Quellen: AHDB Grain Market Daily (August 2026), Commodity-Board.com.
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