📈 Economy · Next Month

Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) beats Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $8.83 per share on August 5, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 5. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

76%

Eli Lilly reports Q2 2026 on August 5. Consensus stands at $8.81–8.85 adjusted EPS per TipRanks. In Q1 2026, Lilly beat by a remarkable 24.8% ($8.55 vs. $6.85 expected), driven by strong tirzepatide (Mounjaro/Zepbound) volumes and sustained GLP-1 demand. Manufacturing capacity was massively expanded in 2025–2026. Risks: US healthcare pricing pressure, potential rebate negotiations. Beat probability: 76%, as consensus estimates after a large Q1 beat tend to lag full ramp-up.

Data basis for this prediction

TipRanks: LLY Q2-2026-EPS-Konsens 8,81–8,85 USD, Ergebnisdatum 05.08.2026
TipRanks: LLY Q1-2026-Beat +24,82 % (8,55 USD erzielt vs. 6,85 USD Konsens)
Lilly Investor Relations: Tirzepatid-Fertigungsausbau-Ankündigungen 2025–2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Eli Lilly berichtete am 5. August 2026 ein bereinigtes EPS von 8,38 USD für Q2 2026 – das liegt UNTER dem in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ca. 8,83 USD. Die Vorhersage enthielt einen gravierenden Fehler beim Konsenswert: Der tatsächliche Analystenkonses lag laut Alphastreet/CNBC bei ca. 6,01–6,55 USD bereinigtem EPS, nicht bei 8,83 USD. Gegenüber diesem realen Konsens schlug Lilly massiv ein (+38 %), was mit dem Muster aus Q1 2026 übereinstimmt. Die eigentliche Kernvorhersage (Beat gegenüber Konsens) wäre also eingetreten – jedoch nicht zu dem in der Vorhersage genannten Zielwert von 8,83 USD. Da die Vorhersage explizit formuliert war als 'übertrifft den bereinigten EPS-Konsens von ca. 8,83 USD' und das tatsächliche EPS (8,38 USD) unter dieser Schwelle lag, gilt die Vorhersage als nicht erfüllt. Quellen: investor.lilly.com, cnbc.com/2026/08/05/eli-lilly-lly-earnings-q2-2026.html, news.alphastreet.com

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