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Duncan Scott (Scotland/GBR) wins gold in the men's 200m Individual Medley at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (Tollcross International Swimming Centre, Glasgow, approx. July 28, 2026)
Probability
73%
Duncan Scott is a multiple Olympic medallist and one of the world's best 200m IM swimmers. He competes at the 2026 Commonwealth Games in Glasgow — his home city — in the 200m IM, 200m freestyle, and 200m butterfly. Crucially, the world's strongest 200m IM rivals (Leon Marchand/FRA, Kieran Smith/USA) are not Commonwealth-eligible, significantly boosting Scott's gold chances. Swimming runs July 24–29 at Tollcross; the men's 200m IM final is expected around July 28. Home-crowd advantage and Scott's Olympic experience (Tokyo, Paris) support this forecast. TNT Sports and Glasgow2026.com name Scott as top favourite.
Data basis for this prediction
- Olympics.com (22.07.2026): CG-2026-Schwimmprogramm Glasgow, Scott in 200m IM/Free/Butterfly
- Glasgow2026.com (Juli 2026): Duncan Scott OBE – Heimfavorit vor heimischem Publikum
- TNT Sports / Glasgow2026.com (Juli 2026): Scott als Hauptereignis im 200-m-Lagen
- SwimSwam CG 2026 Preview Index (Juli 2026): Schwimmprogramm 24.–29. Juli, Tollcross
Verdict: Hit
Duncan Scott gewann tatsächlich Gold im 200-m-Lagen der Männer bei den Commonwealth Games 2026 in Glasgow (Tollcross International Swimming Centre). Er stellte dabei mit 1:56,38 min einen neuen Commonwealth-Games-Rekord auf. Silber ging an Lewis Clareburt (NZL, 1:56,77), Bronze an Tom Dean (ENG, 1:57,22). Das Finale fand am 24. Juli 2026 statt (nicht wie vorhergesagt am 28. Juli, aber innerhalb des angegebenen Schwimmzeitraums). Quellen: glasgow2026.com, STV News, European Aquatics, olympics.com.