Friday, 6. November 2026 · Next update: 10:00 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
📈 Economy · Next Week

DAX (XETRA: ^GDAXI) closes above 25,500 points on July 31, 2026 (confirmed by Xetra closing price or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 25. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
42%

The DAX closed at 25,099 on July 24, 2026 (+1.36%), recovering from a monthly low. To close above 25,500 by Friday requires a further ~1.6% gain. Positive drivers: US earnings season with Meta, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft this week; stable ECB rate path. Headwinds: US tariffs (Section 301, 12.5%), weak German domestic growth, VW restructuring (50,000 job cuts announced). No prediction market; estimate: 42%.

Data basis for this prediction
  • DAX Schlussstand 24.07.2026: 25.099 Punkte (+336 Pkt / +1,36 %) (TradingEconomics)
  • VW Group H1 2026: Adj. EBIT-Marge 4,3 %, Betriebsgewinn €5,9 Mrd. (Xinhua, 24.07.2026)
  • US Section-301-Zölle China 12,5 % aktiv (Reuters, Juli 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Der DAX schloss am 31. Juli 2026 (Freitag) laut Xetra-Handel bei 25.629,24 Punkten (+0,07 % gegenüber Vortag) und lag damit klar über der Schwelle von 25.500 Punkten. Das entspricht einem Monatsgewinn von +2,53 % (+633 Punkte). Das Intraday-Hoch des Tages erreichte 25.900,10 Punkte (neues Rekordhoch), das Allzeithoch wurde aber knapp verfehlt. Die positive US-Berichtssaison (Meta, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft) sowie ein stabiler EZB-Zinspfad lieferten die nötigen Aufwärtsimpulse, um das Ziel von 25.500 Punkten zu übertreffen. Quellen: wallstreet-online.de (31.07.2026), ariva.de (31.07.2026), boerse-duesseldorf.de (DAX im Juli 2026).
Related Predictions
📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (SPX) closes above 7,500 on Friday, 13 November 2026 (confirmed via NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 14 November 2026, 10:00 ET)

The S&P 500 dropped 4.36% on 5 November 2026 to 7,353.73 — its steepest one-day fall since April 2025 — triggered by an AI-chip selloff that wiped out the post-midterm rally (4 November: +1.72% to 7,698.80). Closing above 7,500 by 13 November requires a +2.0% recovery over 6 trading sessions. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan maintain year-end targets of 7,400–8,100; S&P 500 EPS growth consensus for 2026 stands at +14% YoY. Downside risks: elevated Treasury yields, persistent AI capex uncertainty. No specific Polymarket/Kalshi market found for this level.

62%
Next Week · Predicted for 13. Nov 2026
📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Consumer Price Index (headline CPI) for October 2026 exceeds 3.7 percent year-on-year — BLS release November 10, 2026, 8:30 AM ET (confirmed by BLS or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 AM ET)

The BLS releases October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation forecasts 3.82 percent YoY; the Cleveland Fed nowcasting model forecasts 3.74 percent — both clearly above the 3.7 percent threshold. The September 2026 prior reading was exactly 3.7 percent. Rising energy prices (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since mid-October) and stable core inflation support a further uptick. An existing open platform prediction covers CPI >3.5%; this forecast raises the bar by 20 basis points. A miss would primarily require unexpected weakness in the energy component or food prices.

65%
Next Week · Predicted for 10. Nov 2026
📈 Economy ✦ AI

Gold (XAU/USD Spot) closes above $4,400 per ounce on 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or Kitco by 1 January 2027)

Gold (XAU/USD) rose to $4,134.83 on 5 November 2026 — driven by the Democratic midterm sweep (higher fiscal spending expected) and persistent inflation pressure. Kalshi's Dec 31 settlement market shows ~32% probability for a close above $4,400 and ~43% for above $4,300. Reaching the $4,400 year-end target would require a further ~6.4% gain. Supporting factors: fiscal expansion, geopolitical risks, structurally high central bank demand; UBS forecasts $4,800, JPMorgan $6,000 at year-end. Headwind: hawkish Fed stance (Polymarket: 72.5% for a December rate hike to 4.00–4.25%). Prediction anchors on Kalshi's ~32% for >$4,400.

32%
Next Year · Predicted for 31. Dec 2026