DAX 40 (XETR: ^GDAXI) closes above 25,200 points on July 31, 2026
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 27. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. July 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
DAX closed at 25,099 on July 24, 2026, driven by a SAP earnings beat (+1.36%). Several positive factors support the remaining week through July 31: (1) sharp Brent crude correction on July 27 (−7% to ~$90.90) after US pause on Iran strikes — reduces industrial costs and supports consumer/transport stocks; (2) strong US Big Tech quarterly results (Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft on July 29); (3) expected Fed rate pause on July 29 supports global risk sentiment. Required gain from DAX 25,099: ~+0.4%. No specific prediction market; estimate ~57%.
Data basis for this prediction
- BBN Times: 'DAX 40 closes at 25,099 after SAP Earnings Beat' (24. Juli 2026)
- IG.com: Brent-Rohöl fällt auf ca. 90,90 USD (−7 % am 27. Juli 2026) nach US-Iran-Deeskalation
- S&P 500 Schlussstand 27. Juli 2026: 7.411,98 (Yahoo Finance)
- FTSE 100 Schlussstand 27. Juli 2026: ca. 10.766 – 10.802 (proactiveinvestors.com)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
On 25 July 2026, new US tariffs of 10–12.5% entered into force on goods from 60 countries including EU exports to the US (12.5%). The EU has the legal tool of Enforcement Regulation (EU) 654/2014 for proportionate countermeasures. In 2018–2019, the EU responded to steel/aluminium tariffs with targeted counter-tariffs (bourbon, Harley-Davidson, orange juice). In May 2025, the EU filed a WTO complaint against earlier US tariffs. Bruegel (July 2026) outlines the EU strategy following the US Supreme Court Tariff Ruling. Headwinds: EU prefers negotiations; an autumn Trump-Xi summit could indirectly create pressure for an EU-US deal. No direct Polymarket market; own estimate ~62%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Visa reports Q3 FY2026 (April–June) on 28 July after close. Zacks consensus: $3.23 EPS (+8.1% YoY), revenue consensus $11.35bn. Visa beat EPS consensus in each of the last 4 quarters, average positive surprise +3.2%. Analysts at Yahoo Finance/Zacks explicitly flagged Visa as 'poised to beat estimates again' (6 July 2026). Strong cross-border transaction volumes from continued travel boom and growing international payment flows support the outlook. No specific Polymarket market for this event.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Hilton reports Q2 2026 on 28 July. Zacks consensus: $2.28 EPS (+3.6% YoY; revised up from $2.27 in last 7 days), revenue consensus $3.36bn (+7.2% YoY). Hilton has beaten EPS consensus in each of the last 4 quarters – 100% beat rate – with an average positive surprise of 4.6%. Global travel demand remains robust; RevPAR continues to trend upward. No specific Polymarket market; own estimate based on historical beat rate.