⚽ Sports · Next Week

CWG 2026 (Glasgow): Nina Kennedy (Australia/AUS) wins women's pole vault gold (Scotstoun Stadium, Glasgow, approx. 31 July 2026, confirmed by official CWG result)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

76%

Nina Kennedy is defending Olympic champion (Paris 2024) and defending Commonwealth Games champion (Birmingham 2022). On 11 July 2026 she cleared 4.95 m (Australian record); her 'Project Five Metres' makes her the dominant pole vaulter in the Commonwealth field. Athletics Weekly and Olympics.com list Kennedy as the clear favourite; bookmaker odds imply ~75–80%. No comparable Commonwealth athlete is in contention.

Data basis for this prediction

Olympics.com: 'Nina Kennedy exclusive on Project Five Metres and Commonwealth Games title defence' (2026)
Athletics Weekly: 'Glasgow 2026 Commonwealth Games athletics guide: key events, stars and dates' (2026)
CWG 2026 Athletik-Programm: Finale Stabhochsprung Frauen ca. 31.07.2026, Scotstoun Stadium

Verdict: Miss

Nina Kennedy (AUS) gewann nicht Gold, sondern Silber. Eliza McCartney (NZL) holte Gold im Stabhochsprung der Frauen am 31. Juli 2026 im Scotstoun Stadium Glasgow. Beide überquerten 4,65 m, doch McCartney entschied den Countback für sich, weil sie diese Höhe ohne Fehlversuch meisterte, während Kennedy dort einen Fehlversuch hatte. Bronze ging an Imogen Ayris (NZL) mit 4,55 m. Der Upset war trotz Kennedys klarer Favoritenrolle real – ein einzelner Fehlversuch kostete sie den Titel. Quellen: ABC News (https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08-01/nina-kennedy-pole-vault-commonwealth-games-glasgow/106985198), Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athletics_at_the_2026_Commonwealth_Games_%E2%80%93_Women%27s_pole_vault), Athletics Oceania (https://athletics-oceania.com/01/08/28234/)

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