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CWG 2026 (Glasgow): Australia ('Dolphins') wins gold in the women's 4×100m freestyle relay (swimming, Tollcross International Swimming Centre, July 28, 2026, confirmed by official CWG result)
Probability
72%
July 28, 2026 is relay finals day in CWG swimming. Australia's women's freestyle squad is historically dominant: Mollie O'Callaghan recorded the fastest women's 100m freestyle semi-final time (53.29s) and is the relay anchor; Lani Pallister already won 400m freestyle gold. Australia holds the world record in the women's 4×100m freestyle relay and has not lost Commonwealth gold in this event since Melbourne 2006. England and Canada can challenge, but Australia's squad depth is exceptional. No Polymarket market; own estimate 72% based on historical dominance and current form.
Data basis for this prediction
- CWG 2026 Swimming: Relay Finals Schedule 28. Juli 2026 (MySwimSplits.com, 27.07.2026)
- Mollie O'Callaghan: Schnellste Semi-Halbfinalzeit Frauen 100m Freistil 53,29 s (Olympics.com, 27.07.2026)
- Lani Pallister: Gold 400m Freistil Frauen CWG 2026 (Olympics.com)
Verdict: Hit
Australiens Frauen-4×100-m-Freistilstaffel (Meg Harris, Shayna Jack, Alex Perkins, Mollie O'Callaghan) gewann Gold in Glasgow 2026 mit 3:31,40 min – mehr als vier Sekunden vor England (Silber, 3:35,66) und Südafrika (Bronze). Es war Australiens achter Commonwealth-Games-Sieg in Serie in dieser Disziplin, was die Vorhersage der historischen Dominanz bestätigt. Kleiner Abweichung: Das Rennen fand am 25. Juli (Tag 1 der Schwimmwettbewerbe) statt, nicht am 28. Juli wie vorhergesagt, aber das Kernergebnis trat ein. Quelle: https://www.glasgow2026.com/news/4551252/team-australia-break-commonwealth-games-record-with-eighth-straight-gold-medal-win-in-women-s-4-x-100m-freestyle-relay und https://www.olympics.com/en/news/commonwealth-games-2026-australia-womens-4x100m-freestyle-relay-crown