📈 Economy · Next Week

Costco Q4 FY2026: Diluted EPS exceeds $6.50 per share (report September 24, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. September 2026 · Predicted for 24. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

72%

Costco Wholesale reports Q4 FY2026 after US market close on September 24, 2026 (fiscal year ends August). Analyst consensus per TipRanks/Barchart: EPS $6.53–6.55, revenue $94.85B (+10% YoY). The $6.50 threshold sits $0.03–0.05 below consensus. Costco has beaten EPS estimates in roughly 75% of the last 16 quarters; membership growth (+8% YoY), renewal rate above 92%, and Kirkland Signature private-label sales support operating margins. No direct Polymarket analogue available; probability model-based on historical beat rate.

Data basis for this prediction

TipRanks: Costco COST Q4 FY2026 EPS-Konsens 6,55 USD (September 2026)
Barchart: Costco Q4-26 Umsatzschätzung 94,86 Mrd. USD (September 2026)
Costco IR / GlobeNewswire: Earnings-Termin 24. September 2026 nach US-Börsenschluss

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Costco veröffentlichte am 24. September 2026 nach Börsenschluss seinen Q4-FY2026-Bericht. Das tatsächliche verwässerte EPS betrug 6,75 USD je Aktie – deutlich über der Schwelle von 6,50 USD und über dem Konsens von ~6,54 USD. Der Umsatz lag bei 95,72 Mrd. USD (+11,2 % ggü. Vorjahr). Zu beachten: 0,15 USD je Aktie entfielen auf einen einmaligen IEEPA-Zollrückerstattungseffekt; auch bereinigt davon überschritt das EPS die 6,50-USD-Marke deutlich. Quellen: Costco 8-K (SEC), stockmarkethours.org ('Costco FY2026 Q4 Results: Revenue $95.723B, EPS $6.75'), vanderbiltreport.com ('Costco Q4 Earnings: Sales Up 11.2%, EPS $6.75 Beats Estimates').

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