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Copa Libertadores 2026 Quarter-final: SE Palmeiras (BRA) advances to semi-final on aggregate vs LDU Quito (ECU)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 16. September 2026 · Predicted for 16. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

72%

Palmeiras won the first leg 1-0 at Nubank Parque (São Paulo) via Agustín Giay (25'). The return leg is today, September 16, at 7:00 PM local time at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito, ~2,800 m altitude). LDU Quito needs to win by 2+ goals to advance; if 1-0 to Quito it goes to penalties. Palmeiras are three-time Copa Lib champions and Brazil's strongest club on form. Bookmaker odds imply ~70% for Palmeiras to advance. Consistent with existing platform forecast of Palmeiras winning the semi-final vs Fluminense.

Data basis for this prediction

Copa Libertadores 2026 QF-Auslosung: Palmeiras vs LDU Quito – beIN Sports, 26.08.2026
Hinspiel-Ergebnis Palmeiras 1:0 LDU Quito (Giay 25') – Fox Sports / CONMEBOL, ca. 09.09.2026
Rückspiel: 16.09.2026, 19:00 Uhr Ortszeit, Quito – Fox Sports / CONMEBOL, 16.09.2026
Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~70 % für Palmeiras-Weiterkommen (aggregiert, Stand 16.09.2026)

Verdict: Hit

Palmeiras zog tatsächlich ins Halbfinale ein. Das Rückspiel am 16. September 2026 im Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado endete 3:2 für LDU Quito, womit das Gesamtresultat nach dem Hinspiel-1:0 für Palmeiras auf 3:3 stand. Da keine Auswärtstorregel mehr gilt, folgte Elfmeterschießen, das Palmeiras 4:3 gewann. Das vorhergesagte Weiterkommen von Palmeiras trat damit ein, wenn auch auf dramatischerem Wege als erwartet (Elfer statt klares Gesamtresultat). Die Halbfinalpaarung Palmeiras vs. Fluminense (wie in der Vorhersage-Begründung erwähnt) wurde ebenfalls bestätigt. Quellen: CONMEBOL/FIFA Match Centre (LDU Quito v Palmeiras 3-2), Teleamazonas, El Universo, La Nacion.

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