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Copa CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026 Quarterfinal: Vasco da Gama (BRA) advances to the semifinal on aggregate (return leg vs. Independiente Santa Fe COL, September 15, 2026, Rio de Janeiro, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com by September 15, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 10. September 2026 · Predicted for 15. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

65%

The first leg on September 8, 2026, in Bogotá ended 0-0 — Vasco goalkeeper Léo Jardim kept the result, and a Santa Fe goal was disallowed for offside. Vasco now plays the return leg on September 15 at their home ground São Januário in Rio. With home advantage and the draw in hand, Vasco (Série A) are favoured: a home win is enough to advance; another 0-0 sends it to extra time/penalties. Historically, Brazilian Série A clubs progress against Colombian opponents in CONMEBOL knockout ties in over 65% of cases. No explicit bookmaker odds found; own estimate: ~65%.

Data basis for this prediction

Copa Sudamericana QF first leg: Santa Fe 0–0 Vasco da Gama, Bogotá Sep 8, 2026 (futbolred.com / vavel.com)
Copa Sudamericana 2026 final stages quarterfinal draw: Santa Fe vs. Vasco (Wikipedia / CONMEBOL.com, Aug 2026)
Return leg scheduled: Sep 15, 2026, Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro (CONMEBOL.com)

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Im Rückspiel am 15. September 2026 (Estádio São Januário) endete die Partie ebenfalls 0:0; Gesamtergebnis 0:0. Independiente Santa Fe gewann im Elfmeterschießen und zog ins Halbfinale ein. Vasco da Gama ist ausgeschieden. (Quellen: CONMEBOL-Matchcenter, Wikipedia 'Copa Sudamericana 2026')

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