⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Copa CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 Quarterfinal: Sport Club Corinthians Paulista (BRA) advances to the semi-final on aggregate against CA Estudiantes (ARG) (Neo Química Arena, São Paulo, September 16, 2026, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com or ESPN by September 17, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 16. September 2026 · Predicted for 16. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

62%

The first leg ended 1-1 in La Plata, Argentina. Corinthians host the return leg at Neo Química Arena in São Paulo. With CONMEBOL having abolished the away-goal rule since 2022, any tie after 90 minutes triggers extra time and potentially penalties. Brazilian clubs historically post some of the strongest home-leg records in CONMEBOL competition; aggregated betting markets imply roughly 62–65% probability for Corinthians to advance. Estudiantes are defensively disciplined but structurally disadvantaged traveling to Brazil.

Data basis for this prediction

beIN Sports: Copa Libertadores 2026 QF bracket and match dates, 03.09.2026
Wikipedia: 2026 Copa Libertadores final stages — Estudiantes vs Corinthians Hinspiel 1:1
CONMEBOL-Regeländerung: Auswärtstorregel seit 2022 abgeschafft

Verdict: Miss

Estudiantes de La Plata gewann das Rückspiel am 16. September 2026 in der Neo Química Arena mit 1:0 und zog damit ins Halbfinale ein – nicht Corinthians. Alexis Castro erzielte das entscheidende Tor in der 87. Minute, zudem scheiterte Corinthians-Stürmer Memphis Depay in der Verlängerung (102') an einem Elfmeter. Gesamtresultat: Estudiantes 2:1 (Hinspiel 1:1 in La Plata, Rückspiel 0:1 für Corinthians). Entgegen der in der Vorhersage angeführten brasilianischen Heimstärke setzte sich die defensive Stabilität von Estudiantes auch auswärts durch. Quellen: Infobae (https://www.infobae.com/deportes/2026/09/16/...), La Nación (https://www.lanacion.com.ar/deportes/futbol/corinthians-vs-estudiantes-de-la-plata-en-vivo-nid16092026/), ESPN (https://www.espn.com/soccer/match/_/gameId/401912541/corinthians-estudiantes-de-la-plata).

Related Predictions

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Manchester City defeats SSC Napoli — UEFA Champions League 2026/27 League Phase Matchday 5 (Etihad Stadium, Manchester, 24 November 2026, 21:00 CET, confirmed via UEFA or BBC Sport by 25 November 2026)

Manchester City (2026/27 record: 5-1) host SSC Napoli on 24 November 2026 at the Etihad. Bookmaker odds imply ~80% for a City home win (quote ~1/4); a Napoli away win trades at ~10/1 (~9% implied). Statistical models assign City 66% win probability and a draw 18%. Napoli have never won away against a Premier League top-6 side in this Champions League season. Market anchor: bookmaker odds imply 79–80%; own estimate follows the conservative model value of 66%, as Napoli historically respond better to continental pressure than their domestic form alone suggests.

66%

Next Month · Predicted for 24. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

Borussia Dortmund defeats SV 07 Elversberg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Signal Iduna Park, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

BVB sits 2nd in the Bundesliga after 8 matchdays (18 pts) with the best defence in the league (6 goals conceded). Bookmaker odds for a Dortmund home win imply ~79% (quote ~1.26); statistical models put BVB at 74.96%. Expected Goals: BVB 2.47 xG vs. Elversberg 0.81 xG. Elversberg failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures — no other club in the division is currently as barren on the road. Probability set slightly below market implied to account for Elversberg's proven giant-killing capacity this season.

75%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026

⚽ Sports ✦ AI

RB Leipzig defeats FC Augsburg — Bundesliga Matchday 9 (Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, 7 November 2026, confirmed via bundesliga.com or DFL by 7 November 2026, 18:00 CET)

RB Leipzig have never lost a Bundesliga home fixture against FC Augsburg (10 games: 9 wins, 1 draw). Augsburg are currently on a 6-match winless run (3 draws, 3 losses) — the longest such drought in the top flight right now. Winger Antonio Nusa is in excellent form; a Leipzig win would set a Bundesliga record against Augsburg. Bookmaker odds imply ~60% (quote ~1.65); the unblemished home record and Augsburg's poor form justify raising the estimate to 65%.

65%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 7. Nov 2026