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Copa CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 Quarterfinal: Fluminense FC (BRA) advances on aggregate to the semi-final (second leg vs. CA Platense ARG, approximately September 15–16, 2026, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com by September 17, 2026)
Probability
86%
Fluminense FC won the first leg on September 8, 2026, at the Maracanã against CA Platense (ARG) 2-0. In the second leg (approximately September 15–16 at Platense, Buenos Aires/La Plata), Platense would need at least 3 goals without reply (or win 2-0 for extra time). Such comebacks after a 0-2 first-leg defeat in the Libertadores quarterfinal occur historically in fewer than 5% of cases. Fluminense is the reigning Copa Libertadores champion (2023). This prediction complements existing forecasts for Flamengo, Boca Juniors, and Estudiantes – all four QF pairings are now fully covered. No prediction markets available.
Data basis for this prediction
- Fluminense 2-0 Platense, Copa Libertadores 2026 QF Hinspiel 8. September 2026 (ESPN.com, Fluminense 2-0 Platense, gameId 401912518)
- Copa Libertadores 2026 Rückspiele Viertelfinale: 15.–17. September 2026 (CONMEBOL.com)
- Fluminense FC: Copa-Libertadores-Sieger 2023 vs. Boca Juniors (CONMEBOL.com)
- Historische Comeback-Rate QF Libertadores nach 0:2 Hinspielverlust: unter 5 % (CONMEBOL-Statistiken / Infostrada)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Das Rückspiel Fluminense – CA Platense fand am 15. September 2026 in Vicente López statt. Fluminense hatte das Hinspiel 2:0 gewonnen; Wikipedia listet Fluminense als Libertadores-Halbfinalisten. (Quellen: ESPN, Wikipedia '2026 Copa Libertadores final stages')