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Copa CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 Quarter-final: Flamengo (BRA) advances to the semi-final on aggregate (return leg vs. Independiente del Valle ECU, September 17, 2026, Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com by September 17, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 10. September 2026 · Predicted for 17. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

74%

The fourth Copa Libertadores 2026 quarter-final is IDV (ECU) vs. Flamengo (BRA). First leg: September 10 in Quito (altitude 2,810m); return leg: September 17 at Maracanã. Flamengo are two-time Copa champions (2019, 2022) with a strong home record. IDV are experienced continental contenders, but Flamengo are clear aggregate favorites. Bookmaker aggregates imply ~72–76% for Flamengo advancing; no direct Polymarket market found.

Data basis for this prediction

CONMEBOL.com: Copa Libertadores 2026 QF-Bracket – IDV vs. Flamengo bestätigt (Hinspiel Quito 10.09., Rückspiel Maracanã 17.09.)
beIN Sports: Copa Libertadores 2026 Quarterfinal Matchups (26. August 2026)
Wikipedia: 2026 Copa Libertadores Final Stages – alle 4 QF-Paarungen
Primicias.ec: IDV vs. Flamengo Copa Libertadores QF (September 2026)

Verdict: Hit

Flamengo zog tatsächlich ins Halbfinale der Copa Libertadores 2026 ein. Im Hinspiel (10./11. September 2026, Quito) gewannen sie 2:0 (Tore: Bruno Henrique, Leo Pereira). Im Rückspiel am 17. September 2026 im Maracanã trennten sich beide Teams 1:1 – Flamengo-Spieler Arrascaeta glich nach zwischenzeitlichem Rückstand aus (Jorginho sah zudem Rot). Gesamtergebnis 3:1 für Flamengo, womit das Weiterkommen ins Halbfinale bestätigt wurde. Quellen: CONMEBOL/FIFA-Matchcenter (via fifa.com), Gazeta Esportiva, VAVEL Brasil.

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