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Copa CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 Semifinal: SE Palmeiras (BRA) advances to the final on aggregate (second leg vs. CR Fluminense FC BRA, approx. October 20/21, 2026, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com or ESPN by October 22, 2026)
Probability
60%
The Copa Libertadores 2026 semifinal draw produced an all-Brazilian field: Semi 1 Corinthians vs. Flamengo, Semi 2 Palmeiras vs. Fluminense. Palmeiras are the most recent Libertadores dynasty with three consecutive titles (2020, 2021, 2022) and convincingly handled LDU Quito in the quarterfinal. Fluminense are the 2023 champions and eliminated Platense. With no prediction market data available for this matchup, the assessment relies on squad quality (Palmeiras squad rated higher on Transfermarkt), home leg advantage, and historical H2H stats (Palmeiras: 5 wins, Fluminense: 3 in last 10 competitive meetings). First legs: October 13/14; second legs: October 20/21, 2026. Final: November 28, 2026, Estadio Centenario, Montevideo.
Data basis for this prediction
- Wikipedia: 2026 Copa Libertadores final stages — Halbfinalpaarung SE Palmeiras vs. CR Fluminense (bestätigt)
- ESPN Argentina: Copa Libertadores 2026 Fixture — Hinspiele 13./14. Okt., Rückspiele 20./21. Okt. 2026
- Palmeiras: Libertadores-Sieger 2020, 2021, 2022 (drei Titel in Folge); Fluminense: Titelträger 2023
- Diario de Cuyo: Copa Libertadores Semis — Spieltermine und Austragungsorte bestätigt (September 2026)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Palmeiras zog ins Finale der Copa Libertadores 2026 ein. Nach einem 1:0-Rückspiel-Resultat für Fluminense (Gesamtstand 2:2) gewann Palmeiras das Elfmeterschießen 5:3. Torhüter Carlos Miguel war der Held. Quellen: beIN Sports, WRAL/AP, Fox Sports.