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Commonwealth Games 2026: Matthew Temple (Australia) Wins Gold in Men's 100m Butterfly (Tollcross International Swimming Centre, Glasgow, ~July 28–29, 2026)
Probability
63%
Matthew Temple (AUS) is an Olympic silver medalist in 100m butterfly (Paris 2024 individual) and relay gold medalist, the standout world-class name in this event at CWG 2026. His main global rivals — Kristóf Milák (Hungary) and Thomas Ceccon (Italy) — are not Commonwealth athletes. Australia's swimming team dominates CWG medal tables. Temple has gone sub-51 seconds in 2026; no Commonwealth competitor regularly threatens that time.
Data basis for this prediction
- SwimSwam: Ariarne Titmus übernimmt Reporter-Rolle für 7NEWS bei CWG 2026 (Juli 2026, bestätigt)
- Wikipedia: Swimming at the 2026 Commonwealth Games – Programmübersicht 100m Butterfly Männer
- World Athletics/FINA: Matthew Temple Profil – Olympia Paris 2024 Silber 100m Schmetterling
- SwimSwam: 2026 Commonwealth Games Preview-Index (Juli 2026)
Verdict: Miss
Matthew Temple (AUS) gewann kein Gold, sondern Silber (50,43 s). Josh Liendo (Kanada) verteidigte seinen Titel aus 2022 und siegte mit Commonwealthrekord in 50,42 s – also nur 0,01 s vor Temple. Der entscheidende Irrtum in der Vorhersage: Liendo als amtierender Commonwealth-Champion und seinerseits Weltklasse-Athlet wurde als ernsthafter Konkurrent unterschätzt. Quellen: SwimSwam (https://swimswam.com/josh-liendo-nabs-commonwealth-games-record-in-100-fly-in-50-42-takes-gold-by-01/), Swimming World Magazine (https://www.swimmingworldmagazine.com/news/commonwealth-games-day-three-finals-josh-liendo-edges-matthew-temple-by-01-for-100-fly-gold/), Glasgow 2026 Official (https://www.glasgow2026.com/news/4549210/canada-s-josh-liendo-breaks-commonwealth-record-in-men-s-100m-butterfly-swimming-at-glasgow-2026-commonwealth-games)