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Commonwealth Games 2026 (Glasgow): Lovlina Borgohain (India/IND) wins gold in women's 75 kg boxing (SEC Centre, final August 1, 2026, confirmed by official CWG result)
Probability
54%
Borgohain (Olympic bronze Tokyo 2020) received a bye into the 75 kg semi-finals — bronze is already guaranteed. Her semi-final on July 31 is against Tarona Taafaki from Tuvalu, a significantly weaker opponent. In the final she will most likely face Australia's Emma-Sue Greentree. As a World Championship medallist and world-ranked top contender, Borgohain is the clear favourite. Only 5 boxers entered this weight class, making the competition manageable. Probability of semi-final win: ~95%; final win: ~55–60% → overall gold probability: ~54%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Borgohain erhält Freilos ins Halbfinale (Bye), Bronze garantiert; Halbfinale vs. Taafaki (Tuvalu) am 31. Juli (Olympics.com / Brut Media, Juli 2026)
- Nur 5 Boxerinnen in der 75-kg-Klasse CWG 2026; Finale am 1. August (World Boxing / Wikipedia)
- Borgohain: Olympia-Bronze Tokio 2020, WM-Bronzemedaillengewinnerin (Olympics.com Profil)
Verdict: Miss
Lovlina Borgohain erreichte das Finale wie vorhergesagt (Halbfinalsieg gegen Tarona Taafaki aus Tuvalu) und traf dort auf genau die prognostizierte Gegnerin Emma-Sue Greentree (Australien). Im Finale am 1. August 2026 verlor sie jedoch mit 1:4 nach Punkten (Split Decision) und gewann Silber statt Gold. Der Finalsieg für Greentree war das entscheidende Moment, das die Vorhersage zum Scheitern brachte. Quellen: https://ianslive.in/cwg-2026-lovlina-borgohain-wins-silver-after-narrow-loss-to-aussie-in-womens-75kg-final--20260801224017 sowie https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boxing_at_the_2026_Commonwealth_Games_%E2%80%93_Women%27s_75_kg