Saturday, 19. September 2026 ยท Next update: 02:00 DE EN Log in
Cassandra.news
Tomorrow's news. Today.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Economy ยท Next Week

COMEX Copper (HG front-month) closes above USD 6.75 per pound on 25 September 2026 (confirmed by CME Group or Bloomberg by 25 September 2026)

Pending โœฆ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. September 2026 ยท Predicted for 25. September 2026 ยท Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
48%

Copper traded at USD 6.62/lb on 18 September 2026 (+1.24% day-on-day). The platform's open year-end target of USD 7.00/lb implies a sustained uptrend. Key drivers: global AI infrastructure buildout, energy-transition demand (EVs, heat pumps), and tight mine supply in Chile and Peru. No Polymarket market found for 25 September specifically. The USD 6.75 threshold requires ~+2.0% โ€” achievable in a week of positive momentum but not guaranteed.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Metalcharts.org / CME Group COMEX HG: 6,62 USD/lb, +1,24 % (18.09.2026)
  • TradingView COMEX:HG1! Tages-Chart (18.09.2026)
  • Offene Plattformvorhersage: HG Front-Month > 7,00 USD/lb am 31.12.2026
  • TradingEconomics: Kupfer-Fundamentaldaten September 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
Related Predictions
๐Ÿ“ˆ Economy โœฆ AI

Nikkei 225 (N225) closes above 66,000 points on 31 December 2026 (confirmed by Nikkei.co.jp or Bloomberg by 31 December 2026)

The Nikkei 225 closed at approximately 65,102 on Friday, 18 September 2026 โ€” well above analyst consensus (BofA: 61,000; UBS: 54,000; IG: 52,000). Polymarket priced the 55,000โ€“60,000 band at ~44% as the most likely year-end outcome, but this data predates the index's run to 65,100 and is now stale. Polymarket currently shows only ~10.6% for the 65,000โ€“70,000 range and ~15% cumulative above 65,000, which appears to significantly underestimate odds given the current price. The BoJ rate hike to 1.25% on 18 September strengthens the yen and creates a structural headwind for export-heavy Nikkei constituents. Surpassing 66,000 by year-end requires a modest +1.4% gain; over a 3.5-month window with ~15% annualised volatility we estimate 45% probability.

45%
Next Year ยท Predicted for 31. Dec 2026
๐Ÿ“ˆ Economy โœฆ AI

IBEX 35 (Bolsa de Madrid) closes above 19,100 points on September 22, 2026 (confirmed by BME or Bloomberg by September 22, 2026)

The IBEX 35 closed at 19,384.70 points on September 18, 2026 (+0.32%). The 19,100 threshold is 1.5% below the current level. With historical IBEX daily volatility of ~0.9โ€“1.2% and two trading days remaining until Monday September 22, the 2-day standard deviation is approximately 1.6โ€“1.7%, placing the threshold ~0.9 standard deviations below current levels โ€” implying ~82% probability of remaining above. Macro support: SNB expected to hold rates at 0.00% (consensus: 40/41 economists, Reuters poll); EUR/USD stable at 1.1461; no critical ECB decisions within the window. No existing Cassandra prediction explicitly covers the IBEX 35.

79%
Next Week ยท Predicted for 22. Sep 2026
๐Ÿ“ˆ Economy โœฆ AI

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 8,000 points on December 31, 2026 (confirmed by NYSE/NASDAQ closing price or Bloomberg by December 31, 2026)

The S&P 500 stood at 7,621.76 on September 18, 2026. The 8,000 mark requires a further +5.0% gain to year-end (โ‰ˆ 3.5 months). Headwinds: The open Cassandra prediction of a Fed rate hike to 4.00โ€“4.25% in October 2026 raises the discount rate for growth stocks. Tailwinds: Q4 seasonality (S&P 500 historically +2โ€“3% on average), robust Q3 2026 earnings expectations (Meta revenue >$63.5B, Microsoft >$82B per existing predictions). VIX-implied volatility of ~17โ€“19 yields a 1-standard-deviation range of ~8% over 3.5 months; 8,000 sits just under half a standard deviation above the current level. No Polymarket market for S&P 500 year-end 2026 is known; fair assessment: ~48%.

48%
Next Year ยท Predicted for 31. Dec 2026