🍾 Beverages · Next Week

The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) beats the adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus in its Q2 2026 earnings report (expected ca. July 22, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 15. July 2026 · Predicted for 22. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

71%

Coca-Cola is expected to report Q2 2026 results around July 22. KO has beaten the adjusted EPS consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters (~75% beat rate). The global beverage segment benefits from sustained pricing power and volume gains in emerging markets. Strong Q2 bank results (GS EPS beat +46%, BofA +8%) signal robust consumer spending. No Polymarket contract found; own estimate based on historical beat rate and sector trends: 71%.

Data basis for this prediction

Goldman Sachs Q2 2026: EPS 20,98 USD (+45,9% über Konsens), Rekordergebnis – Alphastreet/StockTitan, 15.07.2026
Bank of America Q2 2026: EPS 1,21 USD (+8% über Konsens 1,12 USD) – FinancialContent/Benzinga, 14.07.2026
KO historische EPS-Beat-Quote: ~75 % (letzte 8 Quartale) – AlphaStreet/Quartr

Verdict: Miss

Das Q2-2026-Ergebnis von Coca-Cola wurde NICHT am 22. Juli 2026 veröffentlicht. Laut offizieller Pressemitteilung von Coca-Cola (investors.coca-colacompany.com, businesswire.com, MarketBeat) ist der tatsächliche Termin der 28. Juli 2026 vor Marktöffnung. Da heute der 23. Juli 2026 ist und die Zahlen noch nicht vorliegen, kann die eigentliche Prognose (EPS-Beat) noch nicht bewertet werden. Die Vorhersage ging von einem falschen Datum aus (22. Juli statt 28. Juli), und das Ereignis hat noch nicht stattgefunden – eine abschließende Bewertung ist erst ab dem 28. Juli möglich. Quellen: https://investors.coca-colacompany.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1163/, https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2026-7-28-the-coca-cola-company-stock/

Related Predictions

🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) reports Q3 FY2026 (July–September 2026, release ~October 2026) year-over-year decline in Truly Hard Seltzer depletion volumes (confirmed by Boston Beer press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The hard seltzer category has been in structural decline since its 2021 peak. Truly (second-largest brand after White Claw) already reported depletion volume declines of –6% to –9% YoY in Q1–Q2 FY2026. Drivers of ongoing pressure: market saturation, competition from RTD cocktails and FMBs, growth of non-alcoholic alternatives. Boston Beer itself cited 'continued category headwinds' for Hard Seltzer in recent guidance documents. A Q3 2026 reversal without external catalysts (product relaunch, price cut) is highly unlikely.

75%

Next Month · Predicted for 15. Nov 2026

🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE: TAP) reports organic net revenue decline year-on-year in its Q3 FY2026 quarterly report (July–September 2026, release approx. October/November 2026, confirmed by Molson Coors press release or Bloomberg by November 15, 2026)

The global beer market faces structural volume pressure in North America, collapse of the hard seltzer segment (Topo Chico, Coors Seltzer), and growing non-alcoholic competition. The energy price explosion (EU TTF +136% YoY, September 2026) increases production costs. ECB at 2.50% and Fed in rate-hiking mode weigh on household incomes and consumption. Comparable players Diageo, Pernod Ricard, and Brown-Forman are already flagged with organic revenue declines in open predictions. Molson Coors' mainstream brands (Coors Light, Miller Lite) carry higher price resilience than premium spirits — hence moderate calibration at 52%.

52%

Next Month · Predicted for 15. Nov 2026

🍾 Beverages ✦ AI

Brown-Forman Corporation (NYSE: BF.B) reports an organic net sales decline year-on-year in H1 FY2027 (May–October 2026, release approx. December 2026, confirmed by Brown-Forman press release or Bloomberg by December 15, 2026)

Brown-Forman (Jack Daniel's ~40% of revenue, Woodford Reserve, Old Forester) faces the same global premium whiskey downturn as Diageo and Pernod Ricard: distributor destocking, stagnant US domestic demand, weakness in Europe and Asia-Pacific. Fiscal year runs May–April; H1 FY2027 covers May–October 2026, results typically released in early December. IWSR 2026 confirms ongoing global American whiskey volume weakness. Open platform predictions for both Diageo and Pernod Ricard show the same organic decline pattern. No Polymarket market found for BF.B. Assessment: ~65% probability of organic decline.

65%

Next Year · Predicted for 15. Dec 2026