China NBS Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 (Released September 1) Remains in Contraction Below 50.0
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 23. August 2026
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Predicted for 1. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
China's official NBS Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 came in at 49.2, well below the 50.0 threshold and below consensus (50.1). US tariffs (in force since late July 2026), weak export demand, and summer seasonal headwinds all point to continued contraction in August. Note: the separately predicted Caixin Manufacturing PMI (>51.0) covers a different universe (SMEs vs. large state firms in NBS). The two surveys regularly diverge. No Polymarket quote available.
Data basis for this prediction
- TradingEconomics/FXStreet: China NBS Manufacturing PMI Juli 2026 = 49,2 (actual) vs. 50,1 (Konsensus) (31. Jul. 2026)
- FXStreet: NBS Manufacturing PMI China – 2026 Kalenderprognose (Aug 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] China NBS Manufacturing PMI August 2026: 49,8 Punkte – unter 50,0 (Kontraktion). Die Daten wurden de facto am 31. August 2026 veröffentlicht (FXStreet-Zeitstempel 202608310132). Vorhersage: unter 50,0. Quellen: FXStreet, RTTNews.
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