Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$5.79 per share (July 31, 2026)
Pending
β¦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Chevron reports Q2 2026 on July 31, 2026 (before market open). Analyst consensus: ~$5.79 adjusted EPS (vs. $1.77 prior-year quarter, +227% YoY). Brent crude was significantly elevated in Q2 2026 due to Middle East tensions, crossing the $100/bbl mark by late July (~$100.69 on July 25, 2026). No Polymarket data; estimated ~65% beat probability based on Chevron's historical ~70% EPS beat rate and favorable oil price environment.
Data basis for this prediction
- Yahoo Finance Earnings Preview: Chevron Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 5,79 USD, Datum 31.07.2026
- Brent Crude Oil: 100,69 USD/Barrel am 25.07.2026 (Forbes Advisor / ICE-Daten)
- Chevron Q2 2025 bereinigtes EPS: 1,77 USD (Chevron-Pressemitteilung, Vergleichsbasis)
- Chevron historische Earnings-Beat-Rate: ca. 70 % (FactSet / Bloomberg Intelligence)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
π Economy
β¦ AI
BP reports Q2 2026 on August 4, 2026 (07:00 BST, live Q&A with CEO Meg O'Neill and CFO Kate Thomson). Brent crude was elevated in Q2 2026 (AprilβJune) due to Middle East tensions, crossing $100/bbl by late July (+7% WoW). Under Meg O'Neill, BP has rationalized its cost base. The $2.0B threshold is below expected Q1 2026 levels and appears achievable in the current price environment. No Polymarket data; ~60% probability.
π Economy
β¦ AI
The FOMC meets July 28β29, 2026. The fed funds rate sits at 3.50β3.75% (effective 3.62%) after multiple cutting cycles. Polymarket shows 79% probability of no change. Core PCE is ~4.2%, but Chair Kevin Warsh has sent no explicit hike signals. Initial jobless claims for the week of July 18 hit a 57-year low (187k). Despite Polymarket pricing 36% odds of a 25bp hike, data supports another pause.
π Economy
β¦ AI
MPC meets July 30, 2026 (Super Thursday with full Monetary Policy Report and Governor press conference). Bank Rate has held at 3.75% through four consecutive meetings. SONIA futures markets price 86% probability of no change (14% chance of a rise to 4.00%). The June MPC vote was 7-2 for hold β two hawkish dissents signal growing hike inclination, but no majority. Easing US-Iran tensions have reduced energy price pressure, supporting another pause.