📈 Economy · Next Week

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closes below 16.0 points on August 29, 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 23. August 2026 · Predicted for 29. August 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

31%

An open Cassandra prediction already targets VIX below 18.0 on August 27 (post-NVIDIA/Salesforce/CrowdStrike earnings relief). If Warsh closes Jackson Hole (Aug 28–29) with a clear pause message, vol compression continues. Labor Day proximity (September 1 US holiday) seasonally suppresses implied vol. Below 16 is an extreme-calm reading (25th-percentile historically); tail risks remain from geopolitical surprises.

Data basis for this prediction

Offene Cassandra-Prognose: VIX unter 18,0 Punkte am 27. August 2026 (Earnings-Relief-Rally)
Offene Cassandra-Prognose: Warsh Jackson-Hole-Rede — US-10Y-Treasury fällt am 28. August >5 Bp
Newsquawk-Kalender: Jackson Hole Symposium 27.–29. August 2026 — Warsh Hauptrede 28. August
CBOE VIX historisch: VIX <16 entspricht unterem Quartil der 1990–2026-Verteilung (Median ~17,5)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Der CBOE VIX schloss am 29. August 2026 bei 14,60 Punkten – klar unter der Marke von 16,0. Quelle: riotimesonline.com (Global Economy Briefing August 29, 2026)

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