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📈 Economy · Next Month

Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) beats Q2-2026 adjusted non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $6.25 per share (4 August 2026, pre-market)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 4. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle
Probability
62%

Caterpillar benefits from continued US infrastructure spending (Bipartisan Infrastructure Law), strong global mining activity and defence momentum. Q2 2026 consensus EPS ~$6.25, +32% vs $4.72 a year ago. CAT beat consensus in 14 of the last 16 quarters. No prediction market; own estimate: 62%.

Data basis for this prediction
  • barchart.com: 'What to expect from Caterpillar's Q2 2026 earnings report' (Juli 2026)
  • stocktitan.net: 'Caterpillar Q2 2026 earnings date: 4. August 2026, pre-market'
  • tipranks.com: CAT historical earnings beat frequency
  • marketbeat.com: CAT Q2 2026 diluted EPS consensus ~$6.25

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit
Caterpillar meldete am 4. August 2026 (vor Börseneröffnung) einen bereinigten Non-GAAP-EPS von 8,17 USD – und übertraf damit den Konsens von ca. 6,19–6,25 USD um rund 1,98 USD (+32 % Überraschung). Umsatz erreichte mit 20,5 Mrd. USD erstmals in der Unternehmensgeschichte die 20-Mrd.-Marke in einem Quartal (+24 % ggü. Vorjahr). Treiber waren starke Volumenzuwächse, Preissetzungsmacht und Margenausweitung (operative Marge 20,9 %). Die Aktie stieg daraufhin um ~10,7 %. Quellen: Caterpillar Pressemitteilung (prnewswire.com/news-releases/caterpillar-reports-second-quarter-2026-results-302841940.html), StockStory (stockstory.org), Investing.com Earnings-Call-Transcript.
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