Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) beats Q2-2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. USD 6.25 per share (August 4, 2026, 5:30 AM CDT)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
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Predicted for 4. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Q2 2026 consensus EPS: USD 6.25 (+32.4% YoY vs. USD 4.72 in Q2 2025); revenue consensus USD 16.57 billion. Caterpillar benefits from global infrastructure spending (US IIJA, EU investment programs), sustained mining demand (copper, lithium), and pricing power. FY2026 EPS projection: USD 24.85 (+30.4% YoY). CAT has a strong historical beat rate in robust macro quarters; global construction machinery benefits from energy-transition investments. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 68% based on historical CAT beat rate, lightly discounted for macro uncertainty.
Data basis for this prediction
- CAT Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 6,25 USD (+32,4% YoY) – Pluang / StockTitan (Stand 26.07.2026)
- CAT Ergebnisankündigung 4. August 2026, 5:30 Uhr CDT – Caterpillar IR
- CAT FY2026 EPS-Prognose: 24,85 USD – Bloomberg Consensus
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The Caixin PMI (focused on private and export-oriented SMEs, compiled by S&P Global) is conceptually distinct from the NBS PMI (state-owned large firms, separate open forecast). Caixin hovered around the 50-point mark in Q1/Q2 2026. New export orders benefiting from the US-China trade deal (Section 301 tariffs cut to 12.5%, confirmed by Reuters/USTR). Bloomberg consensus ~50.3. Risk: ongoing domestic weakness in the Chinese property market.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows 99% probability of a hold (volume $315k, as of July 26, 2026). The BoJ hiked from 0.75% to 1.00% in June 2026 and signalled a pause. Core CPI ~2.3%, USD/JPY ~162–163, global tariff headwinds counsel caution. Another hike in July is near-certain to be skipped.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Amazon has beaten EPS consensus in 12 consecutive quarters (beat rate >90%). AWS grew >37% YoY in Q1 2026; Prime Day fell in Q2, boosting ad and subscription revenues. Analyst consensus: ~$1.82 (range $1.75–$2.10), revenue consensus $196.71B (+17.3% YoY). The AWS >35% growth open forecast further supports an EPS beat.