📈 Economy · Next Week

Caixin China Services PMI August 2026 (release 3 September 2026): result below 52.0 points

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 28. August 2026 · Predicted for 3. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

68%

The Caixin China Services PMI for July 2026 printed at 50.4 – far below the 53.7 market consensus (a miss of 3.3 points). Statistical reversion cycles after such large consensus misses rarely recover above 52.0 within a single month. The Caixin Manufacturing PMI (>50 expansion, 1 September) is a separate open prediction; the services sector is more exposed to weak domestic consumer demand. No Polymarket market found for this specific release.

Data basis for this prediction

Caixin China Services PMI Juli 2026: 50,4 vs. Prognose 53,7 (Veröffentlichung 04.08.2026, mql5.com/FXStreet)
FXStreet Caixin Services PMI Kalender 2026 (28.08.2026)
VT Markets: Caixin Manufacturing PMI August 2026 – Growth Momentum Cools (28.08.2026)
Caixin Composite PMI Trend: strukturelle Konsumflaute China H2 2026 (mql5.com)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Caixin/RatingDog China Services PMI August 2026: 51,4 Punkte – liegt unter 52,0 (Ereignis eingetreten). Quelle: FXStreet (2026-09-03).

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