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Bundesliga 2026/27 MD4: Eintracht Frankfurt defeat SC Freiburg at home (Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, approx. September 19/20, 2026, confirmed by Bundesliga.com or kicker.de by September 20, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 13. September 2026 · Predicted for 20. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

48%

Eintracht Frankfurt host SC Freiburg at Deutsche Bank Park on Bundesliga Matchday 4 2026/27. The Bundesliga home win rate is historically ~46–48%; Frankfurt is above average with >50% home win rate 2020–2025. SC Freiburg records only ~33–38% away wins historically — below Bundesliga average. Bookmaker odds imply Frankfurt as a slight home favourite (~48–52% implied win probability). The prediction sits near 50% but reflects SGE's structural home advantage. No explicit Polymarket market; calibrated from Bundesliga home statistics and aggregated bookmaker data.

Data basis for this prediction

Bundesliga MD4 Spielplan: Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg ca. 19./20.09.2026 (anstosszeiten.de, Stand 13.09.2026)
Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga-Heimsiegquote 2020–2025: >50% (Transfermarkt/kicker.de)
SC Freiburg Bundesliga-Auswärtssiegquote 2020–2025: ~35% (Transfermarkt)
Buchmacherquoten implizieren ~50% Heimsieg Eintracht Frankfurt (aggregiert, Stand 13.09.2026)

Verdict: Miss

Das Spiel am 19. September 2026 im Deutsche Bank Park endete 2:2-Unentschieden. Eintracht Frankfurt führte zweimal (Ebnoutalib 10', Burkardt 36'), glich Freiburg jedoch durch Scherhant (34') und Suzuki (48') aus. Frankfurt erzielte keinen Heimsieg – die Vorhersage ist damit klar verfehlt. Quellen: bundesliga.com (Match Report Spieltag 4, 'Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg share spoils') und kicker.de (Liveticker Frankfurt–Freiburg 2026).

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