BP plc (LON: BP.) reports Q2 2026 adjusted Underlying RC Profit above $2.0 billion (August 4, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. July 2026
·
Predicted for 4. August 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
BP reports Q2 2026 on August 4, 2026 (07:00 BST, live Q&A with CEO Meg O'Neill and CFO Kate Thomson). Brent crude was elevated in Q2 2026 (April–June) due to Middle East tensions, crossing $100/bbl by late July (+7% WoW). Under Meg O'Neill, BP has rationalized its cost base. The $2.0B threshold is below expected Q1 2026 levels and appears achievable in the current price environment. No Polymarket data; ~60% probability.
Data basis for this prediction
- BP Q2 2026 Results Date: 4. August 2026, 07:00 BST – Q&A mit CEO Meg O'Neill (bp.com/investors)
- Brent Crude Oil: 100,69 USD/Barrel am 25.07.2026 (Forbes Advisor / ICE)
- Brent Crude wöchentlich +~7 % (Woche bis 25.07.2026) wegen Nahost-Eskalation
- BP CEO Meg O'Neill, CFO Kate Thomson: Q2 2026 Webcast bestätigt (bp.com)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Chevron reports Q2 2026 on July 31, 2026 (before market open). Analyst consensus: ~$5.79 adjusted EPS (vs. $1.77 prior-year quarter, +227% YoY). Brent crude was significantly elevated in Q2 2026 due to Middle East tensions, crossing the $100/bbl mark by late July (~$100.69 on July 25, 2026). No Polymarket data; estimated ~65% beat probability based on Chevron's historical ~70% EPS beat rate and favorable oil price environment.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The FOMC meets July 28–29, 2026. The fed funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75% (effective 3.62%) after multiple cutting cycles. Polymarket shows 79% probability of no change. Core PCE is ~4.2%, but Chair Kevin Warsh has sent no explicit hike signals. Initial jobless claims for the week of July 18 hit a 57-year low (187k). Despite Polymarket pricing 36% odds of a 25bp hike, data supports another pause.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
MPC meets July 30, 2026 (Super Thursday with full Monetary Policy Report and Governor press conference). Bank Rate has held at 3.75% through four consecutive meetings. SONIA futures markets price 86% probability of no change (14% chance of a rise to 4.00%). The June MPC vote was 7-2 for hold — two hawkish dissents signal growing hike inclination, but no majority. Easing US-Iran tensions have reduced energy price pressure, supporting another pause.