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🍾 Beverages · Next Week

The Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) closes above $185.00 on July 18, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
45%

Boston Beer closed at $183.62 on July 2, 2026. Q2 2026 results are due after the close on July 22 — after this prediction's deadline. The hard seltzer market shrank 5% in 2025 (measured off-premise channels) while RTD spirits are growing. The 2026 EPS guidance of $8.50–$11.00 reflects wide uncertainty. The threshold of $185 implies a ~+0.75% move from the last known price. Pre-positioning ahead of the Q2 report is possible, but structural headwinds in hard seltzer weigh on buying enthusiasm. No Polymarket market.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Boston Beer (SAM) Schluss 02.07.2026: 183,62 USD (Yahoo Finance)
  • SAM Q2 2026 Ergebnistermin: 22. Juli 2026 nach Börsenschluss (MarketBeat / SEC 8-K)
  • Hard Seltzer Kategorie –5% YoY 2025 off-premise (SAM Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript, The Motley Fool)
  • SAM 2026 EPS-Guidance: 8,50–11,00 USD je Aktie (Boston Beer Q1 2026 Earnings)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Boston Beer handelt am 17. Juli bei ca. 176 USD – unter dem Schwellenwert von 185 USD. Der 18. Juli ist ein Samstag. Quelle: Yahoo Finance
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