📈 Economy · Next Week

Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) beats Q2-2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. –$0.24 per share (July 28, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 20. July 2026 · Predicted for 28. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

65%

Boeing reports Q2 2026 on July 28. Analyst EPS consensus: –$0.24 (loss reduction of 80.7% YoY). Per Baird, Boeing delivered ~167 commercial aircraft in Q2 – well above the analyst mean of ~145–155. Deliveries are Boeing's primary revenue recognition trigger; strong delivery counts historically correlate tightly with EPS beats. Defense segment headwinds remain, but deliveries running 10–15% above expectations support a 65% beat probability.

Data basis for this prediction

Boeing IR Pressemitteilung (1. Juli 2026): Ergebnisbekanntgabe 28. Juli 2026, 10:30 Uhr ET
Yahoo Finance / Barchart (Juli 2026): Boeing Q2 EPS-Konsens –0,24 USD; Verlust –80,7 % YoY
Baird via StockTitan (Juli 2026): Boeing ca. 167 Zivilauslieferungen Q2, über Erwartungen von ~145–155
Morningstar PR Newswire (1. Juli 2026): Boeing kündigt Q2-Ergebnisbekanntgabe 28. Juli an

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Boeing verfehlte im Q2 2026 den bereinigten EPS-Konsens deutlich: Tatsächlicher adjusted EPS lag bei –0,76 USD je Aktie gegenüber einem Konsens von ca. –0,29 bis –0,30 USD – ein Miss von rund 0,47 USD. Die Kernthese der Vorhersage (starke Auslieferungen → EPS-Beat) war operativ korrekt – Boeing lieferte 171 Zivilflugzeuge aus (höchster Quartalswert seit 2018) und schlug die Umsatzerwartungen (24,6 Mrd. USD vs. ~24,0 Mrd. USD). Der ausschlaggebende Fehler war die Unterschätzung des Verteidigungssegment-Gegenwinds: Ein überraschend hoher Sonderbelastungsposten von 280 Mio. USD auf das VC-25B-Programm (neue Air Force One) drückte das Defense-Segment von einem Vorjahresgewinn von 110 Mio. USD in einen operativen Verlust von –15 Mio. USD und überwog die kommerziellen Auslieferungsgewinne vollständig. Quellen: Investing.com ('Boeing misses second quarter EPS despite revenue beat', 28.07.2026), Yahoo Finance ('Boeing Q2 2026 earnings miss as Air Force One charge bites', 28.07.2026).

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